Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Sunbury (Kismet - Killara)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Sunbury (Kismet - Killara) will increase by an average of 27 dwellings per annum to 4,893 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Precinct 2 - Canterbury Hills - 32 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • Precinct 5 - Somerset and Mt Holden - 172 dwellings (2017-2022)
  • Sunbury Fields - 390 dwellings (2017-2024)
  • Riddell Road Potential Urban - 22 dwellings (2022-2027)
  • Low level of infill development assumed (2 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 4,893 2040 Total dwellings: 4,891 2039 Total dwellings: 4,889 2038 Total dwellings: 4,887 2037 Total dwellings: 4,885 2036 Total dwellings: 4,883 2035 Total dwellings: 4,881 2034 Total dwellings: 4,879 2033 Total dwellings: 4,877 2032 Total dwellings: 4,875 2031 Total dwellings: 4,873 2030 Total dwellings: 4,871 2029 Total dwellings: 4,869 2028 Total dwellings: 4,867 2027 Total dwellings: 4,865 2026 Total dwellings: 4,860 2025 Total dwellings: 4,854 2024 Total dwellings: 4,848 2023 Total dwellings: 4,837 2022 Total dwellings: 4,816 2021 Total dwellings: 4,769 2020 Total dwellings: 4,707 2019 Total dwellings: 4,610 2018 Total dwellings: 4,505 2017 Total dwellings: 4,375 2041 Total dwellings: 4,893 2040 Total dwellings: 4,891 2039 Total dwellings: 4,889 2038 Total dwellings: 4,887 2037 Total dwellings: 4,885 2036 Total dwellings: 4,883 2035 Total dwellings: 4,881 2034 Total dwellings: 4,879 2033 Total dwellings: 4,877 2032 Total dwellings: 4,875 2031 Total dwellings: 4,873 2030 Total dwellings: 4,871 2029 Total dwellings: 4,869 2028 Total dwellings: 4,867 2027 Total dwellings: 4,865 2026 Total dwellings: 4,860 2025 Total dwellings: 4,854 2024 Total dwellings: 4,848 2023 Total dwellings: 4,837 2022 Total dwellings: 4,816 2021 Total dwellings: 4,769 2020 Total dwellings: 4,707 2019 Total dwellings: 4,610 2018 Total dwellings: 4,505 2017 Total dwellings: 4,375 2041 Forecast development: 2 2040 Forecast development: 2 2039 Forecast development: 2 2038 Forecast development: 2 2037 Forecast development: 2 2036 Forecast development: 2 2035 Forecast development: 2 2034 Forecast development: 2 2033 Forecast development: 2 2032 Forecast development: 2 2031 Forecast development: 2 2030 Forecast development: 2 2029 Forecast development: 2 2028 Forecast development: 2 2027 Forecast development: 5 2026 Forecast development: 6 2025 Forecast development: 6 2024 Forecast development: 11 2023 Forecast development: 21 2022 Forecast development: 47 2021 Forecast development: 62 2020 Forecast development: 97 2019 Forecast development: 105 2018 Forecast development: 130 2017 Forecast development: 160
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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