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Craigieburn

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Craigieburn will increase by an average of 277 dwellings per annum to 23,141 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Highlands - Mt Aitken - 804 dwellings (2017-2025)
  • Highlands Retirement Village - 20 dwellings (2017-2018)
  • Craigieburn Town Centre - 49 dwellings (2017-2019)
  • Aston - Craigieburn - 870 dwellings (2017-2024)
  • 64 Escapade Boulevarde - 47 dwellings (2017-2018)
  • Highlands (Vista Precinct) - 1,272 dwellings (2017-2028)
  • Highlands Estate (Lakeside Precinct) - 634 dwellings (2018-2025)
  • Craigieburn Town Centre (mixed use) - 159 dwellings (2019-2023)
  • Craigieburn (South West) UGA - 540 dwellings (2022-2031)
  • Highlands Estate (The Bridge) - 763 dwellings (2023-2032)
  • Craigieburn (South West) Future Residential - 432 dwellings (2030-2039)
  • Low-moderate level of infill development (4-14 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 23,141 2040 Total dwellings: 23,127 2039 Total dwellings: 23,113 2038 Total dwellings: 23,089 2037 Total dwellings: 23,053 2036 Total dwellings: 23,014 2035 Total dwellings: 22,960 2034 Total dwellings: 22,896 2033 Total dwellings: 22,822 2032 Total dwellings: 22,729 2031 Total dwellings: 22,628 2030 Total dwellings: 22,551 2029 Total dwellings: 22,466 2028 Total dwellings: 22,351 2027 Total dwellings: 22,161 2026 Total dwellings: 21,937 2025 Total dwellings: 21,651 2024 Total dwellings: 21,305 2023 Total dwellings: 20,883 2022 Total dwellings: 20,372 2021 Total dwellings: 19,803 2020 Total dwellings: 19,162 2019 Total dwellings: 18,413 2018 Total dwellings: 17,650 2017 Total dwellings: 16,980 2041 Total dwellings: 23,141 2040 Total dwellings: 23,127 2039 Total dwellings: 23,113 2038 Total dwellings: 23,089 2037 Total dwellings: 23,053 2036 Total dwellings: 23,014 2035 Total dwellings: 22,960 2034 Total dwellings: 22,896 2033 Total dwellings: 22,822 2032 Total dwellings: 22,729 2031 Total dwellings: 22,628 2030 Total dwellings: 22,551 2029 Total dwellings: 22,466 2028 Total dwellings: 22,351 2027 Total dwellings: 22,161 2026 Total dwellings: 21,937 2025 Total dwellings: 21,651 2024 Total dwellings: 21,305 2023 Total dwellings: 20,883 2022 Total dwellings: 20,372 2021 Total dwellings: 19,803 2020 Total dwellings: 19,162 2019 Total dwellings: 18,413 2018 Total dwellings: 17,650 2017 Total dwellings: 16,980 2041 Forecast development: 14 2040 Forecast development: 14 2039 Forecast development: 24 2038 Forecast development: 36 2037 Forecast development: 39 2036 Forecast development: 54 2035 Forecast development: 64 2034 Forecast development: 74 2033 Forecast development: 93 2032 Forecast development: 101 2031 Forecast development: 77 2030 Forecast development: 85 2029 Forecast development: 115 2028 Forecast development: 190 2027 Forecast development: 224 2026 Forecast development: 286 2025 Forecast development: 346 2024 Forecast development: 422 2023 Forecast development: 511 2022 Forecast development: 569 2021 Forecast development: 641 2020 Forecast development: 749 2019 Forecast development: 763 2018 Forecast development: 670 2017 Forecast development: 765
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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