Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Broadmeadows Shared Vision Area

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Broadmeadows Shared Vision Area will increase by an average of 223 dwellings per annum to 13,260 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Broadmeadows - 4,833 dwellings
  • Dallas - 126 dwellings
  • Jacana - 194 dwellings
  • Westmeadows (BVSA part) - 410 dwellings
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 13,260 2040 Total dwellings: 13,035 2039 Total dwellings: 12,810 2038 Total dwellings: 12,585 2037 Total dwellings: 12,360 2036 Total dwellings: 12,135 2035 Total dwellings: 11,910 2034 Total dwellings: 11,685 2033 Total dwellings: 11,460 2032 Total dwellings: 11,240 2031 Total dwellings: 11,020 2030 Total dwellings: 10,800 2029 Total dwellings: 10,584 2028 Total dwellings: 10,373 2027 Total dwellings: 10,176 2026 Total dwellings: 9,979 2025 Total dwellings: 9,782 2024 Total dwellings: 9,585 2023 Total dwellings: 9,388 2022 Total dwellings: 9,198 2021 Total dwellings: 9,002 2020 Total dwellings: 8,715 2019 Total dwellings: 8,402 2018 Total dwellings: 8,144 2017 Total dwellings: 7,854 2041 Total dwellings: 13,260 2040 Total dwellings: 13,035 2039 Total dwellings: 12,810 2038 Total dwellings: 12,585 2037 Total dwellings: 12,360 2036 Total dwellings: 12,135 2035 Total dwellings: 11,910 2034 Total dwellings: 11,685 2033 Total dwellings: 11,460 2032 Total dwellings: 11,240 2031 Total dwellings: 11,020 2030 Total dwellings: 10,800 2029 Total dwellings: 10,584 2028 Total dwellings: 10,373 2027 Total dwellings: 10,176 2026 Total dwellings: 9,979 2025 Total dwellings: 9,782 2024 Total dwellings: 9,585 2023 Total dwellings: 9,388 2022 Total dwellings: 9,198 2021 Total dwellings: 9,002 2020 Total dwellings: 8,715 2019 Total dwellings: 8,402 2018 Total dwellings: 8,144 2017 Total dwellings: 7,854 2041 Forecast development: 225 2040 Forecast development: 225 2039 Forecast development: 225 2038 Forecast development: 225 2037 Forecast development: 225 2036 Forecast development: 225 2035 Forecast development: 225 2034 Forecast development: 225 2033 Forecast development: 220 2032 Forecast development: 220 2031 Forecast development: 220 2030 Forecast development: 216 2029 Forecast development: 211 2028 Forecast development: 197 2027 Forecast development: 197 2026 Forecast development: 197 2025 Forecast development: 197 2024 Forecast development: 197 2023 Forecast development: 190 2022 Forecast development: 196 2021 Forecast development: 287 2020 Forecast development: 313 2019 Forecast development: 258 2018 Forecast development: 290 2017 Forecast development: 157
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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