Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Craigieburn Development area

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Craigieburn Development area will increase by an average of 473 dwellings per annum to 28,499 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Craigieburn - 6,926 dwellings
  • Mickleham (CDA part) - 4,888 dwellings
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 28,499 2040 Total dwellings: 28,219 2039 Total dwellings: 27,939 2038 Total dwellings: 27,649 2037 Total dwellings: 27,347 2036 Total dwellings: 27,042 2035 Total dwellings: 26,722 2034 Total dwellings: 26,392 2033 Total dwellings: 26,052 2032 Total dwellings: 25,693 2031 Total dwellings: 25,332 2030 Total dwellings: 24,995 2029 Total dwellings: 24,655 2028 Total dwellings: 24,300 2027 Total dwellings: 23,885 2026 Total dwellings: 23,436 2025 Total dwellings: 22,950 2024 Total dwellings: 22,447 2023 Total dwellings: 21,895 2022 Total dwellings: 21,294 2021 Total dwellings: 20,649 2020 Total dwellings: 19,973 2019 Total dwellings: 19,199 2018 Total dwellings: 18,361 2017 Total dwellings: 17,571 2041 Total dwellings: 28,499 2040 Total dwellings: 28,219 2039 Total dwellings: 27,939 2038 Total dwellings: 27,649 2037 Total dwellings: 27,347 2036 Total dwellings: 27,042 2035 Total dwellings: 26,722 2034 Total dwellings: 26,392 2033 Total dwellings: 26,052 2032 Total dwellings: 25,693 2031 Total dwellings: 25,332 2030 Total dwellings: 24,995 2029 Total dwellings: 24,655 2028 Total dwellings: 24,300 2027 Total dwellings: 23,885 2026 Total dwellings: 23,436 2025 Total dwellings: 22,950 2024 Total dwellings: 22,447 2023 Total dwellings: 21,895 2022 Total dwellings: 21,294 2021 Total dwellings: 20,649 2020 Total dwellings: 19,973 2019 Total dwellings: 19,199 2018 Total dwellings: 18,361 2017 Total dwellings: 17,571 2041 Forecast development: 280 2040 Forecast development: 280 2039 Forecast development: 290 2038 Forecast development: 302 2037 Forecast development: 305 2036 Forecast development: 320 2035 Forecast development: 330 2034 Forecast development: 340 2033 Forecast development: 359 2032 Forecast development: 361 2031 Forecast development: 337 2030 Forecast development: 340 2029 Forecast development: 355 2028 Forecast development: 415 2027 Forecast development: 449 2026 Forecast development: 486 2025 Forecast development: 503 2024 Forecast development: 552 2023 Forecast development: 601 2022 Forecast development: 645 2021 Forecast development: 676 2020 Forecast development: 774 2019 Forecast development: 838 2018 Forecast development: 790 2017 Forecast development: 886
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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