Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Craigieburn Development area

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Craigieburn Development area is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Hume City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Consistent profile across the 2016-2026 period, with net migration declining over time as development opportunities are realised
  • Significant gain of young couples and families, seeking housing opportunities
  • In the medium term, modest loss of families with older children (5-14 years), perhaps upgrading to larger housing elsewhere
  • Minimal population change through migration at age 55 years and over.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -51 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -39 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 24 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -46 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -48 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -58 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -37 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -22 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 60 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -423 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -393 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 715 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,298 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 997 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 237 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -307 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -230 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 468 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -35 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -2 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 73 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 14 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 36 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 73 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 86 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 166 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 318 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 99 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 50 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 967 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,662 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,346 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 752 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 178 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 689 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -51 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -39 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 24 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -46 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -48 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -58 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -37 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -22 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 60 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -423 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -393 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 715 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,298 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 997 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 237 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -307 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -230 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 468 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -35 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -2 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 73 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 14 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 36 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 73 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 86 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 166 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 318 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 99 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 50 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 967 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,662 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,346 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 752 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 178 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 689
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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