Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Manly (Town Centre)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Manly (Town Centre) indicate a 45.0% increase in population under working age, a 56.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Northern Beaches Council area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Manly (Town Centre) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4983.21644.31603.8+62
5 to 9872.81062.81032.4+15
10 to 14461.5651.7902.1+45
15 to 19371.21193.21333.1+96
20 to 241665.42456.52736.5+107
25 to 2950316.444111.749911.8-4
30 to 3457518.751313.656213.3-13
35 to 3937712.240510.84019.5+24
40 to 442317.53008.02906.8+59
45 to 491825.92767.32957.0+112
50 to 541284.22306.12726.4+144
55 to 591494.81804.82385.6+89
60 to 641254.11353.62024.8+77
65 to 691203.91634.31894.5+69
70 to 74872.81504.01613.8+74
75 to 79712.31233.31563.7+85
80 to 84622.0721.91132.7+51
85 and over331.1762.01012.4+68
Total persons3,077100.03,763100.04,237100.0+1,161

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 101 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 113 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 156 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 161 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 189 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 202 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 238 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 272 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 295 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 290 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 401 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 562 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 499 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 273 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 133 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 90 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 103 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 160 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 123 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 150 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 163 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 135 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 180 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 230 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 276 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 300 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 405 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 513 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 441 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 245 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 119 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 164 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 33 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 62 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 71 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 87 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 120 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 125 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 149 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 128 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 182 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 231 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 377 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 575 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 503 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 166 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 37 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 46 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 87 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 98
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 33 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -10 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 94 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 69 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -62 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -62 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 82 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 66
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Manly (Town Centre) was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 18.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 50 to 54, which is expected to increase by 102 and account for 6.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 513 persons.

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