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Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast

Northern Beaches Council

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Northern Beaches Council will increase by an average of 959 dwellings per annum to 124,200 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Northern Beaches Council. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2021 to 2041
Northern Beaches CouncilChange in dwellings between 2021 and 2041
Areanumber%
Northern Beaches Council Area+19,177+18.3
Allambie Heights+220+9.4
Avalon Beach - Clareville+300+6.8
Balgowlah+340+9.9
Balgowlah Heights - Clontarf+100+5.7
Bayview+159+9.0
Beacon Hill+280+10.9
Belrose - Oxford Falls+200+6.3
Bilgola+40+3.0
Brookvale+585+37.4
Church Point - Scotland Island - Ku-ring-gai Chase+60+5.3
Collaroy+340+10.3
Collaroy Plateau+160+10.6
Cromer+320+10.9
Curl Curl - North Curl Curl+300+13.8
Davidson+159+17.2
Dee Why+3,200+29.0
Elanora Heights+140+9.3
Fairlight+60+2.2
Forestville+400+12.7
Frenchs Forest+5,335+112.8
Freshwater+640+16.0
Ingleside+985+304.4
Killarney Heights+175+12.0
Manly (Eastern Hill)+120+4.4
Manly (Pittwater Road)+375+9.3
Manly (Town Centre)+364+19.4
Manly Vale+540+19.8
Mona Vale+280+6.3
Narrabeen+600+14.4
Narraweena+380+14.7
Newport+260+6.5
North Balgowlah+140+11.7
North Manly+160+14.2
North Narrabeen+100+4.8
Palm Beach - Whale Beach+40+2.8
Queenscliff+40+2.4
Seaforth+180+7.3
Terrey Hills - Duffys Forest+160+12.3
Warriewood+800+27.4
Wheeler Heights+140+13.3
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), August 2023.

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