Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Elanora Heights

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Elanora Heights indicate a 13.9% decrease in population under working age, a 27.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.8% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Northern Beaches Council area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Elanora Heights - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43688.03157.13157.0-53
5 to 94008.63497.83467.7-54
10 to 143748.13197.13066.8-68
15 to 192796.02886.42726.1-8
20 to 242425.22405.42204.9-22
25 to 292234.81673.71733.9-50
30 to 342325.02184.92245.0-8
35 to 393176.92916.52866.4-31
40 to 444018.72976.63006.7-101
45 to 493677.93076.93016.7-66
50 to 543267.03467.82946.6-31
55 to 592665.83086.92786.2+12
60 to 642435.32666.02826.3+39
65 to 692184.72235.02545.7+36
70 to 741282.81944.32164.8+88
75 to 791352.91613.61743.9+39
80 to 84541.2902.01383.1+84
85 and over551.2861.91062.4+51
Total persons4,627100.04,467100.04,484100.0-143

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 138 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 174 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 216 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 254 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 282 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 278 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 294 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 301 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 300 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 286 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 224 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 173 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 220 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 272 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 306 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 346 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 315 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 86 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 223 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 266 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 308 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 346 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 307 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 297 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 291 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 218 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 167 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 240 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 288 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 319 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 349 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 315 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 55 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 54 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 135 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 128 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 218 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 243 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 266 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 326 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 367 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 401 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 317 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 232 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 223 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 242 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 279 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 374 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 400 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 368
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -31 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -52 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -5 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -20 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -13 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 37 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -60 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -104 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -26 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -55 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -55 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -50 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -53
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Elanora Heights was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 66 and account for 4.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 349 persons.

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