Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Manly (Pittwater Road)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Manly (Pittwater Road) indicate a 2.5% decrease in population under working age, a 18.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Northern Beaches Council area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Manly (Pittwater Road) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45236.05435.95645.8+41
5 to 94074.73694.03773.9-30
10 to 143393.93253.53453.5+5
15 to 193303.83934.33984.1+68
20 to 245226.06477.16847.0+162
25 to 291,02111.71,04511.41,14111.8+121
30 to 341,02911.81,08211.81,19412.3+165
35 to 398409.78669.59309.6+90
40 to 446077.06266.86716.9+64
45 to 495586.45235.75515.7-6
50 to 545446.34655.14885.0-57
55 to 594395.14605.04534.7+14
60 to 643664.24364.83994.1+33
65 to 693253.73734.13974.1+72
70 to 742853.32793.03303.4+46
75 to 792042.32092.32442.5+40
80 to 841191.41872.01912.0+72
85 and over2312.73313.63553.7+125
Total persons8,688100.09,159100.09,710100.0+1,022

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 355 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 191 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 244 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 330 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 397 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 399 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 453 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 488 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 551 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 671 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 930 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,194 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,141 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 684 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 398 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 345 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 377 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 564 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 331 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 187 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 209 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 279 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 373 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 436 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 460 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 465 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 523 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 626 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 866 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,082 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,045 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 647 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 393 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 325 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 369 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 543 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 231 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 119 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 204 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 285 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 325 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 366 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 439 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 544 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 558 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 607 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 840 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,029 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,021 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 522 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 330 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 339 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 407 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 523
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 52 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -37 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 45 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 64 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 111 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 96 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 37 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 100 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 68 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -6 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 70 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -79 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -35 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 125 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -38 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 20
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Manly (Pittwater Road) was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 11.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 125 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,082 persons.

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