Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Cromer

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Cromer indicate a 1.1% increase in population under working age, a 15.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Northern Beaches Council area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cromer - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45006.35276.35736.4+72
5 to 96137.85897.16377.1+24
10 to 145717.25867.06247.0+53
15 to 195156.55316.45396.0+24
20 to 244075.24094.94294.8+22
25 to 292963.83424.13644.1+68
30 to 343694.74155.04465.0+77
35 to 395166.55626.76186.9+102
40 to 446288.06307.66887.7+61
45 to 496628.45997.26477.2-15
50 to 545186.65366.45526.1+34
55 to 594465.74885.94715.2+25
60 to 643824.94285.14525.0+70
65 to 694145.24155.04635.2+49
70 to 743374.33664.44254.7+88
75 to 793013.83664.44044.5+103
80 to 841672.12883.53463.9+179
85 and over2373.02442.93013.3+64
Total persons7,879100.08,321100.08,980100.0+1,102

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 301 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 346 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 404 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 425 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 463 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 452 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 471 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 552 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 647 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 688 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 618 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 446 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 364 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 429 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 539 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 624 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 637 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 573 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 244 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 288 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 366 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 366 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 415 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 428 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 488 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 536 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 599 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 630 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 562 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 415 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 342 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 409 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 531 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 586 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 589 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 527 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 237 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 167 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 301 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 337 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 414 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 382 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 446 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 518 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 662 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 628 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 516 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 369 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 296 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 407 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 515 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 571 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 613 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 500
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 57 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 57 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 38 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 60 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 59 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 56 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 38 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 46 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 122 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 28 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 45 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -63 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 46 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 45 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 45 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 15 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -24 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 27
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Cromer was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 122 and account for 3.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 630 persons.

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