Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Mona Vale

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Mona Vale indicate a 10.5% decrease in population under working age, a 17.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.4% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Northern Beaches Council area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mona Vale - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46065.55655.26005.4-7
5 to 97256.65715.25945.3-131
10 to 146035.55945.45975.3-6
15 to 196165.66726.26255.6+9
20 to 245755.35935.46055.4+30
25 to 295174.75204.85524.9+35
30 to 345465.05364.95605.0+14
35 to 396465.96005.56245.6-22
40 to 447166.56335.86525.8-64
45 to 497106.56676.16665.9-45
50 to 547887.27026.46726.0-117
55 to 597226.67116.57006.3-22
60 to 647617.07396.86986.2-63
65 to 696686.16646.16726.0+4
70 to 745595.16786.26846.1+125
75 to 794324.05745.36005.4+168
80 to 843623.34554.25464.9+184
85 and over3833.54544.25424.8+159
Total persons10,936100.010,930100.011,187100.0+251

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 542 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 546 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 600 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 684 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 672 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 698 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 700 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 672 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 666 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 652 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 624 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 560 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 552 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 605 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 625 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 597 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 594 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 600 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 454 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 455 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 574 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 678 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 664 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 739 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 711 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 702 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 667 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 633 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 600 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 536 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 520 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 593 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 672 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 594 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 571 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 565 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 383 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 362 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 432 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 559 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 668 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 761 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 722 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 788 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 710 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 716 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 646 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 546 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 517 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 575 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 616 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 603 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 725 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 606
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 88 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 91 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -41 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -30 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -47 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 71 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 93 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 142 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 119 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -22 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -86 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -43 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -83 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -45 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -155 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -41
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Mona Vale was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 142 and account for 5.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 739 persons.

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