Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Avalon Beach - Clareville

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Avalon Beach - Clareville indicate a 4.7% decrease in population under working age, a 30.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.6% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Northern Beaches Council area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Avalon Beach - Clareville - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46665.96175.66165.5-50
5 to 97796.97266.67276.5-52
10 to 147877.07847.17867.1-1
15 to 197776.97036.46936.2-83
20 to 246075.44944.54974.5-110
25 to 294253.84023.63913.5-33
30 to 344333.84103.73983.6-35
35 to 395725.15645.15795.2+7
40 to 447336.56906.27066.3-28
45 to 498387.47036.47166.4-122
50 to 549578.57096.46946.2-263
55 to 599068.07536.86866.2-220
60 to 647826.98607.87186.5-64
65 to 696986.27867.17016.3+3
70 to 744954.46275.76966.3+201
75 to 793122.85334.86185.6+306
80 to 842252.03653.34664.2+241
85 and over2912.63262.94323.9+141
Total persons11,284100.011,052100.011,120100.0-164

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 432 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 466 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 618 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 696 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 701 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 718 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 686 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 694 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 716 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 706 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 579 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 398 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 391 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 497 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 693 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 786 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 727 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 616 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 326 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 365 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 533 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 627 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 786 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 860 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 753 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 709 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 703 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 690 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 564 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 410 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 402 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 494 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 703 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 784 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 726 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 617 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 291 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 225 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 312 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 495 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 698 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 782 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 906 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 957 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 838 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 733 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 572 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 433 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 425 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 607 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 777 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 787 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 779 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 666
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 102 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 85 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 70 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -86 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -142 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -67 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 15 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 15 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -10 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 35 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 140 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 221 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 88 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -153 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -249 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -134 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -43 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -8 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -23 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -22 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -113 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -74 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -53 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -49
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Avalon Beach - Clareville was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 8.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 221 and account for 4.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 860 persons.

v19.09.08-1.0.0