Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Northern Beaches Council area

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the Northern Beaches Council area is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 12,223 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Northern Beaches Council areaForecast period
Component2017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births16,38116,41017,06517,67818,095
Deaths9,4229,96210,91311,87412,603
Natural increase/decrease6,9596,4486,1525,8045,492
Net migration-1,9604,0496,0714,1512,865
Change in persons in non-private dwellings1765890120120

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Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 1,453 2040 forecast population change: 1,554 2039 forecast population change: 1,696 2038 forecast population change: 1,748 2037 forecast population change: 2,025 2036 forecast population change: 1,863 2035 forecast population change: 1,918 2034 forecast population change: 2,028 2033 forecast population change: 2,046 2032 forecast population change: 2,220 2031 forecast population change: 2,236 2030 forecast population change: 2,394 2029 forecast population change: 2,555 2028 forecast population change: 2,517 2027 forecast population change: 2,521 2026 forecast population change: 2,839 2025 forecast population change: 2,610 2024 forecast population change: 2,141 2023 forecast population change: 1,816 2022 forecast population change: 1,680 2021 forecast population change: 1,129 2020 forecast population change: 33 2019 forecast population change: 1,328 2018 forecast population change: 1,342 2017 forecast population change: 1,343
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Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 1,076 2040 Natural increase: 1,089 2039 Natural increase: 1,098 2038 Natural increase: 1,110 2037 Natural increase: 1,119 2036 Natural increase: 1,134 2035 Natural increase: 1,146 2034 Natural increase: 1,160 2033 Natural increase: 1,176 2032 Natural increase: 1,189 2031 Natural increase: 1,205 2030 Natural increase: 1,219 2029 Natural increase: 1,230 2028 Natural increase: 1,243 2027 Natural increase: 1,255 2026 Natural increase: 1,266 2025 Natural increase: 1,278 2024 Natural increase: 1,287 2023 Natural increase: 1,301 2022 Natural increase: 1,317 2021 Natural increase: 1,339 2020 Natural increase: 1,384 2019 Natural increase: 1,400 2018 Natural increase: 1,416 2017 Natural increase: 1,420 2041 Total deaths: 2,568 2040 Total deaths: 2,545 2039 Total deaths: 2,522 2038 Total deaths: 2,497 2037 Total deaths: 2,471 2036 Total deaths: 2,440 2035 Total deaths: 2,410 2034 Total deaths: 2,377 2033 Total deaths: 2,341 2032 Total deaths: 2,306 2031 Total deaths: 2,266 2030 Total deaths: 2,225 2029 Total deaths: 2,183 2028 Total deaths: 2,140 2027 Total deaths: 2,098 2026 Total deaths: 2,058 2025 Total deaths: 2,019 2024 Total deaths: 1,989 2023 Total deaths: 1,961 2022 Total deaths: 1,935 2021 Total deaths: 1,918 2020 Total deaths: 1,902 2019 Total deaths: 1,881 2018 Total deaths: 1,860 2017 Total deaths: 1,861 2041 Total births: 3,644 2040 Total births: 3,634 2039 Total births: 3,621 2038 Total births: 3,607 2037 Total births: 3,590 2036 Total births: 3,573 2035 Total births: 3,556 2034 Total births: 3,536 2033 Total births: 3,517 2032 Total births: 3,495 2031 Total births: 3,471 2030 Total births: 3,444 2029 Total births: 3,413 2028 Total births: 3,383 2027 Total births: 3,352 2026 Total births: 3,324 2025 Total births: 3,297 2024 Total births: 3,276 2023 Total births: 3,261 2022 Total births: 3,252 2021 Total births: 3,257 2020 Total births: 3,286 2019 Total births: 3,281 2018 Total births: 3,276 2017 Total births: 3,281 2041 Natural increase: 1,076 2040 Natural increase: 1,089 2039 Natural increase: 1,098 2038 Natural increase: 1,110 2037 Natural increase: 1,119 2036 Natural increase: 1,134 2035 Natural increase: 1,146 2034 Natural increase: 1,160 2033 Natural increase: 1,176 2032 Natural increase: 1,189 2031 Natural increase: 1,205 2030 Natural increase: 1,219 2029 Natural increase: 1,230 2028 Natural increase: 1,243 2027 Natural increase: 1,255 2026 Natural increase: 1,266 2025 Natural increase: 1,278 2024 Natural increase: 1,287 2023 Natural increase: 1,301 2022 Natural increase: 1,317 2021 Natural increase: 1,339 2020 Natural increase: 1,384 2019 Natural increase: 1,400 2018 Natural increase: 1,416 2017 Natural increase: 1,420 2041 Total deaths: 2,568 2040 Total deaths: 2,545 2039 Total deaths: 2,522 2038 Total deaths: 2,497 2037 Total deaths: 2,471 2036 Total deaths: 2,440 2035 Total deaths: 2,410 2034 Total deaths: 2,377 2033 Total deaths: 2,341 2032 Total deaths: 2,306 2031 Total deaths: 2,266 2030 Total deaths: 2,225 2029 Total deaths: 2,183 2028 Total deaths: 2,140 2027 Total deaths: 2,098 2026 Total deaths: 2,058 2025 Total deaths: 2,019 2024 Total deaths: 1,989 2023 Total deaths: 1,961 2022 Total deaths: 1,935 2021 Total deaths: 1,918 2020 Total deaths: 1,902 2019 Total deaths: 1,881 2018 Total deaths: 1,860 2017 Total deaths: 1,861 2041 Total births: 3,644 2040 Total births: 3,634 2039 Total births: 3,621 2038 Total births: 3,607 2037 Total births: 3,590 2036 Total births: 3,573 2035 Total births: 3,556 2034 Total births: 3,536 2033 Total births: 3,517 2032 Total births: 3,495 2031 Total births: 3,471 2030 Total births: 3,444 2029 Total births: 3,413 2028 Total births: 3,383 2027 Total births: 3,352 2026 Total births: 3,324 2025 Total births: 3,297 2024 Total births: 3,276 2023 Total births: 3,261 2022 Total births: 3,252 2021 Total births: 3,257 2020 Total births: 3,286 2019 Total births: 3,281 2018 Total births: 3,276 2017 Total births: 3,281
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Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 377 2040 Total net migration: 466 2039 Total net migration: 598 2038 Total net migration: 638 2037 Total net migration: 786 2036 Total net migration: 729 2035 Total net migration: 772 2034 Total net migration: 869 2033 Total net migration: 870 2032 Total net migration: 911 2031 Total net migration: 1,031 2030 Total net migration: 1,175 2029 Total net migration: 1,325 2028 Total net migration: 1,274 2027 Total net migration: 1,266 2026 Total net migration: 1,228 2025 Total net migration: 1,208 2024 Total net migration: 855 2023 Total net migration: 515 2022 Total net migration: 243 2021 Total net migration: -386 2020 Total net migration: -1,351 2019 Total net migration: -72 2018 Total net migration: -74 2017 Total net migration: -77 2041 Total out migration: 39,674 2040 Total out migration: 39,498 2039 Total out migration: 39,302 2038 Total out migration: 39,096 2037 Total out migration: 38,861 2036 Total out migration: 38,638 2035 Total out migration: 38,402 2034 Total out migration: 38,141 2033 Total out migration: 37,874 2032 Total out migration: 37,596 2031 Total out migration: 37,286 2030 Total out migration: 36,941 2029 Total out migration: 36,565 2028 Total out migration: 36,195 2027 Total out migration: 35,825 2026 Total out migration: 35,462 2025 Total out migration: 35,096 2024 Total out migration: 34,802 2023 Total out migration: 34,571 2022 Total out migration: 34,394 2021 Total out migration: 34,350 2020 Total out migration: 34,505 2019 Total out migration: 34,427 2018 Total out migration: 34,411 2017 Total out migration: 35,197 2041 Total in migration: 40,052 2040 Total in migration: 39,964 2039 Total in migration: 39,900 2038 Total in migration: 39,734 2037 Total in migration: 39,647 2036 Total in migration: 39,368 2035 Total in migration: 39,174 2034 Total in migration: 39,010 2033 Total in migration: 38,744 2032 Total in migration: 38,507 2031 Total in migration: 38,317 2030 Total in migration: 38,116 2029 Total in migration: 37,889 2028 Total in migration: 37,469 2027 Total in migration: 37,092 2026 Total in migration: 36,690 2025 Total in migration: 36,304 2024 Total in migration: 35,657 2023 Total in migration: 35,086 2022 Total in migration: 34,637 2021 Total in migration: 33,964 2020 Total in migration: 33,154 2019 Total in migration: 34,356 2018 Total in migration: 34,337 2017 Total in migration: 35,120 2041 Total net migration: 377 2040 Total net migration: 466 2039 Total net migration: 598 2038 Total net migration: 638 2037 Total net migration: 786 2036 Total net migration: 729 2035 Total net migration: 772 2034 Total net migration: 869 2033 Total net migration: 870 2032 Total net migration: 911 2031 Total net migration: 1,031 2030 Total net migration: 1,175 2029 Total net migration: 1,325 2028 Total net migration: 1,274 2027 Total net migration: 1,266 2026 Total net migration: 1,228 2025 Total net migration: 1,208 2024 Total net migration: 855 2023 Total net migration: 515 2022 Total net migration: 243 2021 Total net migration: -386 2020 Total net migration: -1,351 2019 Total net migration: -72 2018 Total net migration: -74 2017 Total net migration: -77 2041 Total out migration: 39,674 2040 Total out migration: 39,498 2039 Total out migration: 39,302 2038 Total out migration: 39,096 2037 Total out migration: 38,861 2036 Total out migration: 38,638 2035 Total out migration: 38,402 2034 Total out migration: 38,141 2033 Total out migration: 37,874 2032 Total out migration: 37,596 2031 Total out migration: 37,286 2030 Total out migration: 36,941 2029 Total out migration: 36,565 2028 Total out migration: 36,195 2027 Total out migration: 35,825 2026 Total out migration: 35,462 2025 Total out migration: 35,096 2024 Total out migration: 34,802 2023 Total out migration: 34,571 2022 Total out migration: 34,394 2021 Total out migration: 34,350 2020 Total out migration: 34,505 2019 Total out migration: 34,427 2018 Total out migration: 34,411 2017 Total out migration: 35,197 2041 Total in migration: 40,052 2040 Total in migration: 39,964 2039 Total in migration: 39,900 2038 Total in migration: 39,734 2037 Total in migration: 39,647 2036 Total in migration: 39,368 2035 Total in migration: 39,174 2034 Total in migration: 39,010 2033 Total in migration: 38,744 2032 Total in migration: 38,507 2031 Total in migration: 38,317 2030 Total in migration: 38,116 2029 Total in migration: 37,889 2028 Total in migration: 37,469 2027 Total in migration: 37,092 2026 Total in migration: 36,690 2025 Total in migration: 36,304 2024 Total in migration: 35,657 2023 Total in migration: 35,086 2022 Total in migration: 34,637 2021 Total in migration: 33,964 2020 Total in migration: 33,154 2019 Total in migration: 34,356 2018 Total in migration: 34,337 2017 Total in migration: 35,120
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