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Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast

Northern Beaches Council

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Northern Beaches Council is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 13,374 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Northern Beaches CouncilForecast period
Component2022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births16,00917,04917,91318,495
Change in persons in non-private dwellings0000
Deaths6,3297,3298,1618,862
Natural increase/decrease9,6809,7209,7529,634
Net migration2,5873,655448-1,363
Total population change12,26713,37510,2008,270
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), August 2023.

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