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Mickleham (Balance)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Mickleham (Balance) will increase by an average of 452 dwellings per annum to 11,926 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Merrifield Estate - 4832 dwellings (2017-2038)
  • The Woods Estate - 352 dwellings (2017-2024)
  • Annadale Estate - 1,141 dwellings (2017-2028)
  • Waratah Estate - 556 dwellings (2018-2025)
  • Lindum Vale - 1,500 dwellings (2021-2034)
  • Mickleham Town Centre - 1,800 dwellings (2022-2041)
  • Merrifield West PSP (Remainder) - 1,050 dwellings (2023-2034)
  • Low level of infill development assumed (3-5 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 11,926 2040 Total dwellings: 11,809 2039 Total dwellings: 11,692 2038 Total dwellings: 11,575 2037 Total dwellings: 11,449 2036 Total dwellings: 11,306 2035 Total dwellings: 11,133 2034 Total dwellings: 10,930 2033 Total dwellings: 10,702 2032 Total dwellings: 10,379 2031 Total dwellings: 9,926 2030 Total dwellings: 9,398 2029 Total dwellings: 8,770 2028 Total dwellings: 8,092 2027 Total dwellings: 7,410 2026 Total dwellings: 6,722 2025 Total dwellings: 6,009 2024 Total dwellings: 5,317 2023 Total dwellings: 4,647 2022 Total dwellings: 4,027 2021 Total dwellings: 3,399 2020 Total dwellings: 2,776 2019 Total dwellings: 2,153 2018 Total dwellings: 1,530 2017 Total dwellings: 1,005 2041 Total dwellings: 11,926 2040 Total dwellings: 11,809 2039 Total dwellings: 11,692 2038 Total dwellings: 11,575 2037 Total dwellings: 11,449 2036 Total dwellings: 11,306 2035 Total dwellings: 11,133 2034 Total dwellings: 10,930 2033 Total dwellings: 10,702 2032 Total dwellings: 10,379 2031 Total dwellings: 9,926 2030 Total dwellings: 9,398 2029 Total dwellings: 8,770 2028 Total dwellings: 8,092 2027 Total dwellings: 7,410 2026 Total dwellings: 6,722 2025 Total dwellings: 6,009 2024 Total dwellings: 5,317 2023 Total dwellings: 4,647 2022 Total dwellings: 4,027 2021 Total dwellings: 3,399 2020 Total dwellings: 2,776 2019 Total dwellings: 2,153 2018 Total dwellings: 1,530 2017 Total dwellings: 1,005 2041 Forecast development: 117 2040 Forecast development: 117 2039 Forecast development: 117 2038 Forecast development: 126 2037 Forecast development: 143 2036 Forecast development: 173 2035 Forecast development: 203 2034 Forecast development: 228 2033 Forecast development: 323 2032 Forecast development: 453 2031 Forecast development: 528 2030 Forecast development: 628 2029 Forecast development: 678 2028 Forecast development: 682 2027 Forecast development: 688 2026 Forecast development: 713 2025 Forecast development: 692 2024 Forecast development: 670 2023 Forecast development: 620 2022 Forecast development: 628 2021 Forecast development: 623 2020 Forecast development: 623 2019 Forecast development: 623 2018 Forecast development: 525 2017 Forecast development: 385
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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