Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Craigieburn (North - Central)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Craigieburn (North - Central) will increase by an average of 167 dwellings per annum to 15,168 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Highlands Retirement Village - 20 dwellings (2017-2018)
  • Craigieburn Town Centre - 49 dwellings (2017-2019)
  • 64 Escapade Boulevarde - 47 dwellings (2017-2018)
  • Highlands (Vista Precinct) - 1,272 dwellings (2017-2028)
  • Highlands Estate (Lakeside Precinct) - 634 dwellings (2018-2025)
  • Craigieburn Town Centre (mixed use) - 159 dwellings (2019-2023)
  • Craigieburn (South West) UGA - 540 dwellings (2022-2031)
  • Highlands Estate (The Bridge) - 763 dwellings (2023-2032)
  • Low-moderate level of infill development (4-8 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 15,168 2040 Total dwellings: 15,160 2039 Total dwellings: 15,152 2038 Total dwellings: 15,144 2037 Total dwellings: 15,136 2036 Total dwellings: 15,128 2035 Total dwellings: 15,120 2034 Total dwellings: 15,112 2033 Total dwellings: 15,104 2032 Total dwellings: 15,097 2031 Total dwellings: 15,082 2030 Total dwellings: 15,066 2029 Total dwellings: 15,015 2028 Total dwellings: 14,934 2027 Total dwellings: 14,797 2026 Total dwellings: 14,636 2025 Total dwellings: 14,443 2024 Total dwellings: 14,199 2023 Total dwellings: 13,895 2022 Total dwellings: 13,536 2021 Total dwellings: 13,114 2020 Total dwellings: 12,675 2019 Total dwellings: 12,203 2018 Total dwellings: 11,792 2017 Total dwellings: 11,477 2041 Total dwellings: 15,168 2040 Total dwellings: 15,160 2039 Total dwellings: 15,152 2038 Total dwellings: 15,144 2037 Total dwellings: 15,136 2036 Total dwellings: 15,128 2035 Total dwellings: 15,120 2034 Total dwellings: 15,112 2033 Total dwellings: 15,104 2032 Total dwellings: 15,097 2031 Total dwellings: 15,082 2030 Total dwellings: 15,066 2029 Total dwellings: 15,015 2028 Total dwellings: 14,934 2027 Total dwellings: 14,797 2026 Total dwellings: 14,636 2025 Total dwellings: 14,443 2024 Total dwellings: 14,199 2023 Total dwellings: 13,895 2022 Total dwellings: 13,536 2021 Total dwellings: 13,114 2020 Total dwellings: 12,675 2019 Total dwellings: 12,203 2018 Total dwellings: 11,792 2017 Total dwellings: 11,477 2041 Forecast development: 8 2040 Forecast development: 8 2039 Forecast development: 8 2038 Forecast development: 8 2037 Forecast development: 8 2036 Forecast development: 8 2035 Forecast development: 8 2034 Forecast development: 8 2033 Forecast development: 7 2032 Forecast development: 15 2031 Forecast development: 16 2030 Forecast development: 51 2029 Forecast development: 81 2028 Forecast development: 137 2027 Forecast development: 161 2026 Forecast development: 193 2025 Forecast development: 244 2024 Forecast development: 304 2023 Forecast development: 359 2022 Forecast development: 422 2021 Forecast development: 439 2020 Forecast development: 472 2019 Forecast development: 411 2018 Forecast development: 315 2017 Forecast development: 478
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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