Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Frankston Central will increase by an average of 150 dwellings per annum to 9,534 in 2041.
The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).
Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.
.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Frankston City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.
List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:
2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:
- 358 Nepean Highway Apartments - 26 dwellings (2017)
- 4 Plowman Place - 10 dwellings (2017)
- 424 Nepean Highway - 29 dwellings (2017)
- 88 Young Street - 39 dwellings (2017)
- Beach and Queen Street - 12 dwellings (2017-2018)
- 33 Mereweather Avenue Apartments - 36 dwellings (2017-2019)
- 382-384 Nepean Highway Apartments - 93 dwellings (2017-2019)
- 398-400 Nepean Highway Apartments - 29 dwellings (2017-2020)
- 92 Beach Street Apartments - 16 dwellings (2017-2020)
- Frankston RGZ - 25 dwellings (2017-2020)
- Frankston structure plan - balance - 51 dwellings (2017-2021)
- Frankston structure plan - residential incremental change - 11 dwellings (2017-2023)
- Frankston structure plan - city centre - 16 dwellings (2017-2029)
- Frankston structure plan - Nepean Highway Boulevard - 12 dwellings (2018)
- Frankston structure plan - potential housing - 18 dwellings (2018-2022)
- Frankston structure plan - residential intensification - 49 dwellings (2018)
- Small sites - 17 dwellings
- High level of infill (25-38 dwellings per annum)