Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Frankston Central

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Frankston Central will increase by an average of 150 dwellings per annum to 9,534 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Frankston City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • 358 Nepean Highway Apartments - 26 dwellings (2017)
  • 4 Plowman Place - 10 dwellings (2017)
  • 424 Nepean Highway - 29 dwellings (2017)
  • 88 Young Street - 39 dwellings (2017)
  • Beach and Queen Street - 12 dwellings (2017-2018)
  • 33 Mereweather Avenue Apartments - 36 dwellings (2017-2019)
  • 382-384 Nepean Highway Apartments - 93 dwellings (2017-2019)
  • 398-400 Nepean Highway Apartments - 29 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • 92 Beach Street Apartments - 16 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • Frankston RGZ - 25 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • Frankston structure plan - balance - 51 dwellings (2017-2021)
  • Frankston structure plan - residential incremental change - 11 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • Frankston structure plan - city centre - 16 dwellings (2017-2029)
  • Frankston structure plan - Nepean Highway Boulevard - 12 dwellings (2018)
  • Frankston structure plan - potential housing - 18 dwellings (2018-2022)
  • Frankston structure plan - residential intensification - 49 dwellings (2018)
  • Small sites - 17 dwellings
  • High level of infill (25-38 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 9,534 2040 Total dwellings: 9,369 2039 Total dwellings: 9,204 2038 Total dwellings: 9,039 2037 Total dwellings: 8,874 2036 Total dwellings: 8,709 2035 Total dwellings: 8,544 2034 Total dwellings: 8,379 2033 Total dwellings: 8,214 2032 Total dwellings: 8,049 2031 Total dwellings: 7,884 2030 Total dwellings: 7,719 2029 Total dwellings: 7,554 2028 Total dwellings: 7,389 2027 Total dwellings: 7,224 2026 Total dwellings: 7,059 2025 Total dwellings: 6,892 2024 Total dwellings: 6,726 2023 Total dwellings: 6,573 2022 Total dwellings: 6,433 2021 Total dwellings: 6,296 2020 Total dwellings: 6,159 2019 Total dwellings: 6,007 2018 Total dwellings: 5,902 2017 Total dwellings: 5,834 2041 Total dwellings: 9,534 2040 Total dwellings: 9,369 2039 Total dwellings: 9,204 2038 Total dwellings: 9,039 2037 Total dwellings: 8,874 2036 Total dwellings: 8,709 2035 Total dwellings: 8,544 2034 Total dwellings: 8,379 2033 Total dwellings: 8,214 2032 Total dwellings: 8,049 2031 Total dwellings: 7,884 2030 Total dwellings: 7,719 2029 Total dwellings: 7,554 2028 Total dwellings: 7,389 2027 Total dwellings: 7,224 2026 Total dwellings: 7,059 2025 Total dwellings: 6,892 2024 Total dwellings: 6,726 2023 Total dwellings: 6,573 2022 Total dwellings: 6,433 2021 Total dwellings: 6,296 2020 Total dwellings: 6,159 2019 Total dwellings: 6,007 2018 Total dwellings: 5,902 2017 Total dwellings: 5,834 2041 Forecast development: 165 2040 Forecast development: 165 2039 Forecast development: 165 2038 Forecast development: 165 2037 Forecast development: 165 2036 Forecast development: 165 2035 Forecast development: 165 2034 Forecast development: 165 2033 Forecast development: 165 2032 Forecast development: 165 2031 Forecast development: 165 2030 Forecast development: 165 2029 Forecast development: 165 2028 Forecast development: 165 2027 Forecast development: 165 2026 Forecast development: 167 2025 Forecast development: 166 2024 Forecast development: 153 2023 Forecast development: 140 2022 Forecast development: 137 2021 Forecast development: 137 2020 Forecast development: 152 2019 Forecast development: 105 2018 Forecast development: 68 2017 Forecast development: 55
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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