Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Frankston City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the Frankston City is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 5,948 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Frankston CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--10,08310,22210,29710,391
Deaths--4,9354,9835,1675,360
Natural increase/decrease--5,1485,2385,1305,031
Net migration--650-183-1,837-2,105
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--15079140120

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 598 2035 forecast population change: 723 2034 forecast population change: 593 2033 forecast population change: 580 2032 forecast population change: 552 2031 forecast population change: 615 2030 forecast population change: 751 2029 forecast population change: 671 2028 forecast population change: 710 2027 forecast population change: 687 2026 forecast population change: 826 2025 forecast population change: 1,037 2024 forecast population change: 1,016 2023 forecast population change: 1,123 2022 forecast population change: 1,133 2021 forecast population change: 1,182 2020 forecast population change: 1,295 2019 forecast population change: 1,279 2018 forecast population change: 1,091 2017 forecast population change: 1,102
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 1,004 2035 Natural increase: 1,004 2034 Natural increase: 1,005 2033 Natural increase: 1,007 2032 Natural increase: 1,011 2031 Natural increase: 1,015 2030 Natural increase: 1,020 2029 Natural increase: 1,026 2028 Natural increase: 1,031 2027 Natural increase: 1,039 2026 Natural increase: 1,045 2025 Natural increase: 1,048 2024 Natural increase: 1,050 2023 Natural increase: 1,049 2022 Natural increase: 1,047 2021 Natural increase: 1,042 2020 Natural increase: 1,037 2019 Natural increase: 1,034 2018 Natural increase: 1,027 2017 Natural increase: 1,008 2036 Total deaths: 1,086 2035 Total deaths: 1,079 2034 Total deaths: 1,072 2033 Total deaths: 1,065 2032 Total deaths: 1,058 2031 Total deaths: 1,050 2030 Total deaths: 1,042 2029 Total deaths: 1,033 2028 Total deaths: 1,025 2027 Total deaths: 1,017 2026 Total deaths: 1,008 2025 Total deaths: 1,002 2024 Total deaths: 996 2023 Total deaths: 990 2022 Total deaths: 987 2021 Total deaths: 986 2020 Total deaths: 985 2019 Total deaths: 981 2018 Total deaths: 985 2017 Total deaths: 999 2036 Total births: 2,090 2035 Total births: 2,083 2034 Total births: 2,077 2033 Total births: 2,072 2032 Total births: 2,069 2031 Total births: 2,064 2030 Total births: 2,062 2029 Total births: 2,059 2028 Total births: 2,056 2027 Total births: 2,056 2026 Total births: 2,054 2025 Total births: 2,050 2024 Total births: 2,045 2023 Total births: 2,039 2022 Total births: 2,034 2021 Total births: 2,027 2020 Total births: 2,021 2019 Total births: 2,015 2018 Total births: 2,012 2017 Total births: 2,007 2036 Natural increase: 1,004 2035 Natural increase: 1,004 2034 Natural increase: 1,005 2033 Natural increase: 1,007 2032 Natural increase: 1,011 2031 Natural increase: 1,015 2030 Natural increase: 1,020 2029 Natural increase: 1,026 2028 Natural increase: 1,031 2027 Natural increase: 1,039 2026 Natural increase: 1,045 2025 Natural increase: 1,048 2024 Natural increase: 1,050 2023 Natural increase: 1,049 2022 Natural increase: 1,047 2021 Natural increase: 1,042 2020 Natural increase: 1,037 2019 Natural increase: 1,034 2018 Natural increase: 1,027 2017 Natural increase: 1,008 2036 Total deaths: 1,086 2035 Total deaths: 1,079 2034 Total deaths: 1,072 2033 Total deaths: 1,065 2032 Total deaths: 1,058 2031 Total deaths: 1,050 2030 Total deaths: 1,042 2029 Total deaths: 1,033 2028 Total deaths: 1,025 2027 Total deaths: 1,017 2026 Total deaths: 1,008 2025 Total deaths: 1,002 2024 Total deaths: 996 2023 Total deaths: 990 2022 Total deaths: 987 2021 Total deaths: 986 2020 Total deaths: 985 2019 Total deaths: 981 2018 Total deaths: 985 2017 Total deaths: 999 2036 Total births: 2,090 2035 Total births: 2,083 2034 Total births: 2,077 2033 Total births: 2,072 2032 Total births: 2,069 2031 Total births: 2,064 2030 Total births: 2,062 2029 Total births: 2,059 2028 Total births: 2,056 2027 Total births: 2,056 2026 Total births: 2,054 2025 Total births: 2,050 2024 Total births: 2,045 2023 Total births: 2,039 2022 Total births: 2,034 2021 Total births: 2,027 2020 Total births: 2,021 2019 Total births: 2,015 2018 Total births: 2,012 2017 Total births: 2,007
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: -405 2035 Total net migration: -401 2034 Total net migration: -412 2033 Total net migration: -428 2032 Total net migration: -459 2031 Total net migration: -399 2030 Total net migration: -409 2029 Total net migration: -355 2028 Total net migration: -321 2027 Total net migration: -352 2026 Total net migration: -219 2025 Total net migration: -90 2024 Total net migration: -34 2023 Total net migration: 75 2022 Total net migration: 86 2021 Total net migration: 140 2020 Total net migration: 168 2019 Total net migration: 184 2018 Total net migration: 64 2017 Total net migration: 94 2036 Total out migration: 12,959 2035 Total out migration: 12,911 2034 Total out migration: 12,865 2033 Total out migration: 12,822 2032 Total out migration: 12,785 2031 Total out migration: 12,741 2030 Total out migration: 12,697 2029 Total out migration: 12,654 2028 Total out migration: 12,609 2027 Total out migration: 12,568 2026 Total out migration: 12,517 2025 Total out migration: 12,457 2024 Total out migration: 12,394 2023 Total out migration: 12,316 2022 Total out migration: 12,234 2021 Total out migration: 12,151 2020 Total out migration: 12,069 2019 Total out migration: 11,979 2018 Total out migration: 11,898 2017 Total out migration: 11,832 2036 Total in migration: 12,554 2035 Total in migration: 12,510 2034 Total in migration: 12,453 2033 Total in migration: 12,395 2032 Total in migration: 12,326 2031 Total in migration: 12,341 2030 Total in migration: 12,287 2029 Total in migration: 12,299 2028 Total in migration: 12,288 2027 Total in migration: 12,216 2026 Total in migration: 12,297 2025 Total in migration: 12,367 2024 Total in migration: 12,360 2023 Total in migration: 12,390 2022 Total in migration: 12,321 2021 Total in migration: 12,290 2020 Total in migration: 12,237 2019 Total in migration: 12,163 2018 Total in migration: 11,962 2017 Total in migration: 11,925 2036 Total net migration: -405 2035 Total net migration: -401 2034 Total net migration: -412 2033 Total net migration: -428 2032 Total net migration: -459 2031 Total net migration: -399 2030 Total net migration: -409 2029 Total net migration: -355 2028 Total net migration: -321 2027 Total net migration: -352 2026 Total net migration: -219 2025 Total net migration: -90 2024 Total net migration: -34 2023 Total net migration: 75 2022 Total net migration: 86 2021 Total net migration: 140 2020 Total net migration: 168 2019 Total net migration: 184 2018 Total net migration: 64 2017 Total net migration: 94 2036 Total out migration: 12,959 2035 Total out migration: 12,911 2034 Total out migration: 12,865 2033 Total out migration: 12,822 2032 Total out migration: 12,785 2031 Total out migration: 12,741 2030 Total out migration: 12,697 2029 Total out migration: 12,654 2028 Total out migration: 12,609 2027 Total out migration: 12,568 2026 Total out migration: 12,517 2025 Total out migration: 12,457 2024 Total out migration: 12,394 2023 Total out migration: 12,316 2022 Total out migration: 12,234 2021 Total out migration: 12,151 2020 Total out migration: 12,069 2019 Total out migration: 11,979 2018 Total out migration: 11,898 2017 Total out migration: 11,832 2036 Total in migration: 12,554 2035 Total in migration: 12,510 2034 Total in migration: 12,453 2033 Total in migration: 12,395 2032 Total in migration: 12,326 2031 Total in migration: 12,341 2030 Total in migration: 12,287 2029 Total in migration: 12,299 2028 Total in migration: 12,288 2027 Total in migration: 12,216 2026 Total in migration: 12,297 2025 Total in migration: 12,367 2024 Total in migration: 12,360 2023 Total in migration: 12,390 2022 Total in migration: 12,321 2021 Total in migration: 12,290 2020 Total in migration: 12,237 2019 Total in migration: 12,163 2018 Total in migration: 11,962 2017 Total in migration: 11,925
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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