Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Frankston City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Frankston City is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 6,489 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Frankston CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--9,9959,9729,9299,94810,089
Deaths--3,9134,1024,6175,2525,797
Natural increase/decrease--6,0835,8695,3124,6964,292
Net migration--235-303-988-1,045-751
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--15079105155120

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 780 2040 forecast population change: 777 2039 forecast population change: 680 2038 forecast population change: 750 2037 forecast population change: 695 2036 forecast population change: 725 2035 forecast population change: 883 2034 forecast population change: 722 2033 forecast population change: 711 2032 forecast population change: 786 2031 forecast population change: 747 2030 forecast population change: 860 2029 forecast population change: 926 2028 forecast population change: 914 2027 forecast population change: 1,003 2026 forecast population change: 1,127 2025 forecast population change: 1,150 2024 forecast population change: 1,159 2023 forecast population change: 1,088 2022 forecast population change: 1,143 2021 forecast population change: 1,321 2020 forecast population change: 1,431 2019 forecast population change: 1,156 2018 forecast population change: 1,241 2017 forecast population change: 1,340
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 839 2040 Natural increase: 851 2039 Natural increase: 862 2038 Natural increase: 866 2037 Natural increase: 874 2036 Natural increase: 895 2035 Natural increase: 917 2034 Natural increase: 938 2033 Natural increase: 960 2032 Natural increase: 985 2031 Natural increase: 1,011 2030 Natural increase: 1,036 2029 Natural increase: 1,062 2028 Natural increase: 1,091 2027 Natural increase: 1,113 2026 Natural increase: 1,134 2025 Natural increase: 1,154 2024 Natural increase: 1,175 2023 Natural increase: 1,197 2022 Natural increase: 1,210 2021 Natural increase: 1,219 2020 Natural increase: 1,225 2019 Natural increase: 1,229 2018 Natural increase: 1,218 2017 Natural increase: 1,191 2041 Total deaths: 1,191 2040 Total deaths: 1,173 2039 Total deaths: 1,157 2038 Total deaths: 1,145 2037 Total deaths: 1,131 2036 Total deaths: 1,103 2035 Total deaths: 1,076 2034 Total deaths: 1,050 2033 Total deaths: 1,025 2032 Total deaths: 998 2031 Total deaths: 972 2030 Total deaths: 949 2029 Total deaths: 923 2028 Total deaths: 897 2027 Total deaths: 876 2026 Total deaths: 854 2025 Total deaths: 837 2024 Total deaths: 818 2023 Total deaths: 801 2022 Total deaths: 792 2021 Total deaths: 782 2020 Total deaths: 774 2019 Total deaths: 772 2018 Total deaths: 782 2017 Total deaths: 803 2041 Total births: 2,030 2040 Total births: 2,024 2039 Total births: 2,019 2038 Total births: 2,011 2037 Total births: 2,005 2036 Total births: 1,999 2035 Total births: 1,992 2034 Total births: 1,988 2033 Total births: 1,985 2032 Total births: 1,983 2031 Total births: 1,983 2030 Total births: 1,985 2029 Total births: 1,985 2028 Total births: 1,987 2027 Total births: 1,989 2026 Total births: 1,988 2025 Total births: 1,991 2024 Total births: 1,993 2023 Total births: 1,998 2022 Total births: 2,001 2021 Total births: 2,001 2020 Total births: 1,999 2019 Total births: 2,002 2018 Total births: 2,000 2017 Total births: 1,993 2041 Natural increase: 839 2040 Natural increase: 851 2039 Natural increase: 862 2038 Natural increase: 866 2037 Natural increase: 874 2036 Natural increase: 895 2035 Natural increase: 917 2034 Natural increase: 938 2033 Natural increase: 960 2032 Natural increase: 985 2031 Natural increase: 1,011 2030 Natural increase: 1,036 2029 Natural increase: 1,062 2028 Natural increase: 1,091 2027 Natural increase: 1,113 2026 Natural increase: 1,134 2025 Natural increase: 1,154 2024 Natural increase: 1,175 2023 Natural increase: 1,197 2022 Natural increase: 1,210 2021 Natural increase: 1,219 2020 Natural increase: 1,225 2019 Natural increase: 1,229 2018 Natural increase: 1,218 2017 Natural increase: 1,191 2041 Total deaths: 1,191 2040 Total deaths: 1,173 2039 Total deaths: 1,157 2038 Total deaths: 1,145 2037 Total deaths: 1,131 2036 Total deaths: 1,103 2035 Total deaths: 1,076 2034 Total deaths: 1,050 2033 Total deaths: 1,025 2032 Total deaths: 998 2031 Total deaths: 972 2030 Total deaths: 949 2029 Total deaths: 923 2028 Total deaths: 897 2027 Total deaths: 876 2026 Total deaths: 854 2025 Total deaths: 837 2024 Total deaths: 818 2023 Total deaths: 801 2022 Total deaths: 792 2021 Total deaths: 782 2020 Total deaths: 774 2019 Total deaths: 772 2018 Total deaths: 782 2017 Total deaths: 803 2041 Total births: 2,030 2040 Total births: 2,024 2039 Total births: 2,019 2038 Total births: 2,011 2037 Total births: 2,005 2036 Total births: 1,999 2035 Total births: 1,992 2034 Total births: 1,988 2033 Total births: 1,985 2032 Total births: 1,983 2031 Total births: 1,983 2030 Total births: 1,985 2029 Total births: 1,985 2028 Total births: 1,987 2027 Total births: 1,989 2026 Total births: 1,988 2025 Total births: 1,991 2024 Total births: 1,993 2023 Total births: 1,998 2022 Total births: 2,001 2021 Total births: 2,001 2020 Total births: 1,999 2019 Total births: 2,002 2018 Total births: 2,000 2017 Total births: 1,993
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -93 2040 Total net migration: -169 2039 Total net migration: -186 2038 Total net migration: -120 2037 Total net migration: -183 2036 Total net migration: -174 2035 Total net migration: -158 2034 Total net migration: -220 2033 Total net migration: -254 2032 Total net migration: -238 2031 Total net migration: -269 2030 Total net migration: -285 2029 Total net migration: -140 2028 Total net migration: -181 2027 Total net migration: -114 2026 Total net migration: -11 2025 Total net migration: -86 2024 Total net migration: -21 2023 Total net migration: -114 2022 Total net migration: -71 2021 Total net migration: 38 2020 Total net migration: 111 2019 Total net migration: -78 2018 Total net migration: 18 2017 Total net migration: 145 2041 Total out migration: 13,262 2040 Total out migration: 13,210 2039 Total out migration: 13,161 2038 Total out migration: 13,105 2037 Total out migration: 13,053 2036 Total out migration: 13,000 2035 Total out migration: 12,942 2034 Total out migration: 12,885 2033 Total out migration: 12,840 2032 Total out migration: 12,797 2031 Total out migration: 12,750 2030 Total out migration: 12,713 2029 Total out migration: 12,657 2028 Total out migration: 12,611 2027 Total out migration: 12,554 2026 Total out migration: 12,489 2025 Total out migration: 12,438 2024 Total out migration: 12,376 2023 Total out migration: 12,320 2022 Total out migration: 12,262 2021 Total out migration: 12,184 2020 Total out migration: 12,105 2019 Total out migration: 12,040 2018 Total out migration: 11,964 2017 Total out migration: 11,916 2041 Total in migration: 13,169 2040 Total in migration: 13,041 2039 Total in migration: 12,975 2038 Total in migration: 12,984 2037 Total in migration: 12,871 2036 Total in migration: 12,825 2035 Total in migration: 12,783 2034 Total in migration: 12,665 2033 Total in migration: 12,586 2032 Total in migration: 12,558 2031 Total in migration: 12,482 2030 Total in migration: 12,428 2029 Total in migration: 12,517 2028 Total in migration: 12,430 2027 Total in migration: 12,440 2026 Total in migration: 12,478 2025 Total in migration: 12,352 2024 Total in migration: 12,355 2023 Total in migration: 12,207 2022 Total in migration: 12,190 2021 Total in migration: 12,222 2020 Total in migration: 12,216 2019 Total in migration: 11,962 2018 Total in migration: 11,982 2017 Total in migration: 12,060 2041 Total net migration: -93 2040 Total net migration: -169 2039 Total net migration: -186 2038 Total net migration: -120 2037 Total net migration: -183 2036 Total net migration: -174 2035 Total net migration: -158 2034 Total net migration: -220 2033 Total net migration: -254 2032 Total net migration: -238 2031 Total net migration: -269 2030 Total net migration: -285 2029 Total net migration: -140 2028 Total net migration: -181 2027 Total net migration: -114 2026 Total net migration: -11 2025 Total net migration: -86 2024 Total net migration: -21 2023 Total net migration: -114 2022 Total net migration: -71 2021 Total net migration: 38 2020 Total net migration: 111 2019 Total net migration: -78 2018 Total net migration: 18 2017 Total net migration: 145 2041 Total out migration: 13,262 2040 Total out migration: 13,210 2039 Total out migration: 13,161 2038 Total out migration: 13,105 2037 Total out migration: 13,053 2036 Total out migration: 13,000 2035 Total out migration: 12,942 2034 Total out migration: 12,885 2033 Total out migration: 12,840 2032 Total out migration: 12,797 2031 Total out migration: 12,750 2030 Total out migration: 12,713 2029 Total out migration: 12,657 2028 Total out migration: 12,611 2027 Total out migration: 12,554 2026 Total out migration: 12,489 2025 Total out migration: 12,438 2024 Total out migration: 12,376 2023 Total out migration: 12,320 2022 Total out migration: 12,262 2021 Total out migration: 12,184 2020 Total out migration: 12,105 2019 Total out migration: 12,040 2018 Total out migration: 11,964 2017 Total out migration: 11,916 2041 Total in migration: 13,169 2040 Total in migration: 13,041 2039 Total in migration: 12,975 2038 Total in migration: 12,984 2037 Total in migration: 12,871 2036 Total in migration: 12,825 2035 Total in migration: 12,783 2034 Total in migration: 12,665 2033 Total in migration: 12,586 2032 Total in migration: 12,558 2031 Total in migration: 12,482 2030 Total in migration: 12,428 2029 Total in migration: 12,517 2028 Total in migration: 12,430 2027 Total in migration: 12,440 2026 Total in migration: 12,478 2025 Total in migration: 12,352 2024 Total in migration: 12,355 2023 Total in migration: 12,207 2022 Total in migration: 12,190 2021 Total in migration: 12,222 2020 Total in migration: 12,216 2019 Total in migration: 11,962 2018 Total in migration: 11,982 2017 Total in migration: 12,060
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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