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Karingal Local Area

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Karingal Local Area is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 249 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Karingal Local AreaForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--956914895890900
Deaths--475496534592627
Natural increase/decrease--481418360298273
Net migration---356-169-358-198-130
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--00000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 54 2040 forecast population change: 8 2039 forecast population change: 9 2038 forecast population change: 60 2037 forecast population change: 12 2036 forecast population change: 8 2035 forecast population change: 49 2034 forecast population change: 5 2033 forecast population change: -2 2032 forecast population change: 40 2031 forecast population change: -16 2030 forecast population change: -13 2029 forecast population change: 43 2028 forecast population change: -13 2027 forecast population change: 2 2026 forecast population change: 48 2025 forecast population change: 27 2024 forecast population change: 47 2023 forecast population change: 82 2022 forecast population change: 45 2021 forecast population change: 66 2020 forecast population change: 55 2019 forecast population change: 24 2018 forecast population change: -4 2017 forecast population change: -15
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 56 2040 Natural increase: 56 2039 Natural increase: 55 2038 Natural increase: 54 2037 Natural increase: 53 2036 Natural increase: 55 2035 Natural increase: 57 2034 Natural increase: 59 2033 Natural increase: 62 2032 Natural increase: 64 2031 Natural increase: 68 2030 Natural increase: 70 2029 Natural increase: 72 2028 Natural increase: 74 2027 Natural increase: 77 2026 Natural increase: 80 2025 Natural increase: 81 2024 Natural increase: 84 2023 Natural increase: 86 2022 Natural increase: 87 2021 Natural increase: 91 2020 Natural increase: 93 2019 Natural increase: 96 2018 Natural increase: 98 2017 Natural increase: 103 2041 Total deaths: 125 2040 Total deaths: 125 2039 Total deaths: 126 2038 Total deaths: 126 2037 Total deaths: 126 2036 Total deaths: 124 2035 Total deaths: 121 2034 Total deaths: 119 2033 Total deaths: 116 2032 Total deaths: 113 2031 Total deaths: 110 2030 Total deaths: 109 2029 Total deaths: 106 2028 Total deaths: 106 2027 Total deaths: 103 2026 Total deaths: 101 2025 Total deaths: 101 2024 Total deaths: 99 2023 Total deaths: 97 2022 Total deaths: 98 2021 Total deaths: 95 2020 Total deaths: 95 2019 Total deaths: 95 2018 Total deaths: 96 2017 Total deaths: 94 2041 Total births: 180 2040 Total births: 181 2039 Total births: 181 2038 Total births: 179 2037 Total births: 179 2036 Total births: 179 2035 Total births: 178 2034 Total births: 178 2033 Total births: 178 2032 Total births: 177 2031 Total births: 178 2030 Total births: 179 2029 Total births: 178 2028 Total births: 179 2027 Total births: 180 2026 Total births: 181 2025 Total births: 182 2024 Total births: 183 2023 Total births: 183 2022 Total births: 185 2021 Total births: 186 2020 Total births: 188 2019 Total births: 191 2018 Total births: 194 2017 Total births: 197 2041 Natural increase: 56 2040 Natural increase: 56 2039 Natural increase: 55 2038 Natural increase: 54 2037 Natural increase: 53 2036 Natural increase: 55 2035 Natural increase: 57 2034 Natural increase: 59 2033 Natural increase: 62 2032 Natural increase: 64 2031 Natural increase: 68 2030 Natural increase: 70 2029 Natural increase: 72 2028 Natural increase: 74 2027 Natural increase: 77 2026 Natural increase: 80 2025 Natural increase: 81 2024 Natural increase: 84 2023 Natural increase: 86 2022 Natural increase: 87 2021 Natural increase: 91 2020 Natural increase: 93 2019 Natural increase: 96 2018 Natural increase: 98 2017 Natural increase: 103 2041 Total deaths: 125 2040 Total deaths: 125 2039 Total deaths: 126 2038 Total deaths: 126 2037 Total deaths: 126 2036 Total deaths: 124 2035 Total deaths: 121 2034 Total deaths: 119 2033 Total deaths: 116 2032 Total deaths: 113 2031 Total deaths: 110 2030 Total deaths: 109 2029 Total deaths: 106 2028 Total deaths: 106 2027 Total deaths: 103 2026 Total deaths: 101 2025 Total deaths: 101 2024 Total deaths: 99 2023 Total deaths: 97 2022 Total deaths: 98 2021 Total deaths: 95 2020 Total deaths: 95 2019 Total deaths: 95 2018 Total deaths: 96 2017 Total deaths: 94 2041 Total births: 180 2040 Total births: 181 2039 Total births: 181 2038 Total births: 179 2037 Total births: 179 2036 Total births: 179 2035 Total births: 178 2034 Total births: 178 2033 Total births: 178 2032 Total births: 177 2031 Total births: 178 2030 Total births: 179 2029 Total births: 178 2028 Total births: 179 2027 Total births: 180 2026 Total births: 181 2025 Total births: 182 2024 Total births: 183 2023 Total births: 183 2022 Total births: 185 2021 Total births: 186 2020 Total births: 188 2019 Total births: 191 2018 Total births: 194 2017 Total births: 197
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -1 2040 Total net migration: -48 2039 Total net migration: -46 2038 Total net migration: 7 2037 Total net migration: -41 2036 Total net migration: -47 2035 Total net migration: -9 2034 Total net migration: -54 2033 Total net migration: -64 2032 Total net migration: -24 2031 Total net migration: -84 2030 Total net migration: -82 2029 Total net migration: -30 2028 Total net migration: -87 2027 Total net migration: -75 2026 Total net migration: -32 2025 Total net migration: -54 2024 Total net migration: -36 2023 Total net migration: -4 2022 Total net migration: -42 2021 Total net migration: -25 2020 Total net migration: -38 2019 Total net migration: -72 2018 Total net migration: -103 2017 Total net migration: -118 2041 Total out migration: 1,169 2040 Total out migration: 1,169 2039 Total out migration: 1,170 2038 Total out migration: 1,164 2037 Total out migration: 1,164 2036 Total out migration: 1,164 2035 Total out migration: 1,159 2034 Total out migration: 1,158 2033 Total out migration: 1,158 2032 Total out migration: 1,155 2031 Total out migration: 1,159 2030 Total out migration: 1,162 2029 Total out migration: 1,159 2028 Total out migration: 1,165 2027 Total out migration: 1,169 2026 Total out migration: 1,169 2025 Total out migration: 1,170 2024 Total out migration: 1,171 2023 Total out migration: 1,167 2022 Total out migration: 1,166 2021 Total out migration: 1,162 2020 Total out migration: 1,162 2019 Total out migration: 1,164 2018 Total out migration: 1,169 2017 Total out migration: 1,178 2041 Total in migration: 1,168 2040 Total in migration: 1,121 2039 Total in migration: 1,124 2038 Total in migration: 1,171 2037 Total in migration: 1,122 2036 Total in migration: 1,116 2035 Total in migration: 1,151 2034 Total in migration: 1,105 2033 Total in migration: 1,094 2032 Total in migration: 1,132 2031 Total in migration: 1,075 2030 Total in migration: 1,079 2029 Total in migration: 1,130 2028 Total in migration: 1,078 2027 Total in migration: 1,094 2026 Total in migration: 1,136 2025 Total in migration: 1,116 2024 Total in migration: 1,135 2023 Total in migration: 1,162 2022 Total in migration: 1,124 2021 Total in migration: 1,137 2020 Total in migration: 1,124 2019 Total in migration: 1,092 2018 Total in migration: 1,066 2017 Total in migration: 1,060 2041 Total net migration: -1 2040 Total net migration: -48 2039 Total net migration: -46 2038 Total net migration: 7 2037 Total net migration: -41 2036 Total net migration: -47 2035 Total net migration: -9 2034 Total net migration: -54 2033 Total net migration: -64 2032 Total net migration: -24 2031 Total net migration: -84 2030 Total net migration: -82 2029 Total net migration: -30 2028 Total net migration: -87 2027 Total net migration: -75 2026 Total net migration: -32 2025 Total net migration: -54 2024 Total net migration: -36 2023 Total net migration: -4 2022 Total net migration: -42 2021 Total net migration: -25 2020 Total net migration: -38 2019 Total net migration: -72 2018 Total net migration: -103 2017 Total net migration: -118 2041 Total out migration: 1,169 2040 Total out migration: 1,169 2039 Total out migration: 1,170 2038 Total out migration: 1,164 2037 Total out migration: 1,164 2036 Total out migration: 1,164 2035 Total out migration: 1,159 2034 Total out migration: 1,158 2033 Total out migration: 1,158 2032 Total out migration: 1,155 2031 Total out migration: 1,159 2030 Total out migration: 1,162 2029 Total out migration: 1,159 2028 Total out migration: 1,165 2027 Total out migration: 1,169 2026 Total out migration: 1,169 2025 Total out migration: 1,170 2024 Total out migration: 1,171 2023 Total out migration: 1,167 2022 Total out migration: 1,166 2021 Total out migration: 1,162 2020 Total out migration: 1,162 2019 Total out migration: 1,164 2018 Total out migration: 1,169 2017 Total out migration: 1,178 2041 Total in migration: 1,168 2040 Total in migration: 1,121 2039 Total in migration: 1,124 2038 Total in migration: 1,171 2037 Total in migration: 1,122 2036 Total in migration: 1,116 2035 Total in migration: 1,151 2034 Total in migration: 1,105 2033 Total in migration: 1,094 2032 Total in migration: 1,132 2031 Total in migration: 1,075 2030 Total in migration: 1,079 2029 Total in migration: 1,130 2028 Total in migration: 1,078 2027 Total in migration: 1,094 2026 Total in migration: 1,136 2025 Total in migration: 1,116 2024 Total in migration: 1,135 2023 Total in migration: 1,162 2022 Total in migration: 1,124 2021 Total in migration: 1,137 2020 Total in migration: 1,124 2019 Total in migration: 1,092 2018 Total in migration: 1,066 2017 Total in migration: 1,060
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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