Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Frankston Metropolitan Activity Centre

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Frankston Metropolitan Activity Centre is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,174 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Frankston Metropolitan Activity CentreForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--258318394464528
Deaths--115122151191231
Natural increase/decrease--143196243273297
Net migration--457910932862813
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--6000350

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 221 2040 forecast population change: 221 2039 forecast population change: 221 2038 forecast population change: 225 2037 forecast population change: 222 2036 forecast population change: 224 2035 forecast population change: 226 2034 forecast population change: 225 2033 forecast population change: 228 2032 forecast population change: 267 2031 forecast population change: 232 2030 forecast population change: 237 2029 forecast population change: 231 2028 forecast population change: 239 2027 forecast population change: 235 2026 forecast population change: 243 2025 forecast population change: 250 2024 forecast population change: 221 2023 forecast population change: 209 2022 forecast population change: 183 2021 forecast population change: 241 2020 forecast population change: 181 2019 forecast population change: 131 2018 forecast population change: 70 2017 forecast population change: 36
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 61 2040 Natural increase: 60 2039 Natural increase: 60 2038 Natural increase: 59 2037 Natural increase: 57 2036 Natural increase: 57 2035 Natural increase: 56 2034 Natural increase: 55 2033 Natural increase: 54 2032 Natural increase: 52 2031 Natural increase: 51 2030 Natural increase: 50 2029 Natural increase: 49 2028 Natural increase: 47 2027 Natural increase: 46 2026 Natural increase: 44 2025 Natural increase: 41 2024 Natural increase: 40 2023 Natural increase: 36 2022 Natural increase: 34 2021 Natural increase: 33 2020 Natural increase: 29 2019 Natural increase: 28 2018 Natural increase: 27 2017 Natural increase: 26 2041 Total deaths: 50 2040 Total deaths: 48 2039 Total deaths: 46 2038 Total deaths: 44 2037 Total deaths: 43 2036 Total deaths: 41 2035 Total deaths: 40 2034 Total deaths: 38 2033 Total deaths: 37 2032 Total deaths: 35 2031 Total deaths: 33 2030 Total deaths: 32 2029 Total deaths: 30 2028 Total deaths: 28 2027 Total deaths: 27 2026 Total deaths: 25 2025 Total deaths: 25 2024 Total deaths: 24 2023 Total deaths: 24 2022 Total deaths: 24 2021 Total deaths: 23 2020 Total deaths: 23 2019 Total deaths: 23 2018 Total deaths: 23 2017 Total deaths: 24 2041 Total births: 111 2040 Total births: 108 2039 Total births: 106 2038 Total births: 103 2037 Total births: 101 2036 Total births: 98 2035 Total births: 96 2034 Total births: 93 2033 Total births: 90 2032 Total births: 87 2031 Total births: 85 2030 Total births: 82 2029 Total births: 79 2028 Total births: 76 2027 Total births: 73 2026 Total births: 70 2025 Total births: 66 2024 Total births: 63 2023 Total births: 61 2022 Total births: 58 2021 Total births: 55 2020 Total births: 52 2019 Total births: 51 2018 Total births: 50 2017 Total births: 50 2041 Natural increase: 61 2040 Natural increase: 60 2039 Natural increase: 60 2038 Natural increase: 59 2037 Natural increase: 57 2036 Natural increase: 57 2035 Natural increase: 56 2034 Natural increase: 55 2033 Natural increase: 54 2032 Natural increase: 52 2031 Natural increase: 51 2030 Natural increase: 50 2029 Natural increase: 49 2028 Natural increase: 47 2027 Natural increase: 46 2026 Natural increase: 44 2025 Natural increase: 41 2024 Natural increase: 40 2023 Natural increase: 36 2022 Natural increase: 34 2021 Natural increase: 33 2020 Natural increase: 29 2019 Natural increase: 28 2018 Natural increase: 27 2017 Natural increase: 26 2041 Total deaths: 50 2040 Total deaths: 48 2039 Total deaths: 46 2038 Total deaths: 44 2037 Total deaths: 43 2036 Total deaths: 41 2035 Total deaths: 40 2034 Total deaths: 38 2033 Total deaths: 37 2032 Total deaths: 35 2031 Total deaths: 33 2030 Total deaths: 32 2029 Total deaths: 30 2028 Total deaths: 28 2027 Total deaths: 27 2026 Total deaths: 25 2025 Total deaths: 25 2024 Total deaths: 24 2023 Total deaths: 24 2022 Total deaths: 24 2021 Total deaths: 23 2020 Total deaths: 23 2019 Total deaths: 23 2018 Total deaths: 23 2017 Total deaths: 24 2041 Total births: 111 2040 Total births: 108 2039 Total births: 106 2038 Total births: 103 2037 Total births: 101 2036 Total births: 98 2035 Total births: 96 2034 Total births: 93 2033 Total births: 90 2032 Total births: 87 2031 Total births: 85 2030 Total births: 82 2029 Total births: 79 2028 Total births: 76 2027 Total births: 73 2026 Total births: 70 2025 Total births: 66 2024 Total births: 63 2023 Total births: 61 2022 Total births: 58 2021 Total births: 55 2020 Total births: 52 2019 Total births: 51 2018 Total births: 50 2017 Total births: 50
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 160 2040 Total net migration: 161 2039 Total net migration: 161 2038 Total net migration: 166 2037 Total net migration: 165 2036 Total net migration: 167 2035 Total net migration: 170 2034 Total net migration: 171 2033 Total net migration: 175 2032 Total net migration: 180 2031 Total net migration: 181 2030 Total net migration: 187 2029 Total net migration: 183 2028 Total net migration: 192 2027 Total net migration: 189 2026 Total net migration: 198 2025 Total net migration: 209 2024 Total net migration: 181 2023 Total net migration: 173 2022 Total net migration: 149 2021 Total net migration: 149 2020 Total net migration: 152 2019 Total net migration: 103 2018 Total net migration: 44 2017 Total net migration: 10 2041 Total out migration: 775 2040 Total out migration: 756 2039 Total out migration: 737 2038 Total out migration: 717 2037 Total out migration: 697 2036 Total out migration: 677 2035 Total out migration: 656 2034 Total out migration: 637 2033 Total out migration: 617 2032 Total out migration: 597 2031 Total out migration: 575 2030 Total out migration: 554 2029 Total out migration: 534 2028 Total out migration: 511 2027 Total out migration: 489 2026 Total out migration: 465 2025 Total out migration: 440 2024 Total out migration: 420 2023 Total out migration: 398 2022 Total out migration: 382 2021 Total out migration: 363 2020 Total out migration: 349 2019 Total out migration: 335 2018 Total out migration: 330 2017 Total out migration: 324 2041 Total in migration: 935 2040 Total in migration: 916 2039 Total in migration: 898 2038 Total in migration: 883 2037 Total in migration: 861 2036 Total in migration: 844 2035 Total in migration: 826 2034 Total in migration: 807 2033 Total in migration: 791 2032 Total in migration: 776 2031 Total in migration: 756 2030 Total in migration: 741 2029 Total in migration: 717 2028 Total in migration: 703 2027 Total in migration: 677 2026 Total in migration: 663 2025 Total in migration: 649 2024 Total in migration: 601 2023 Total in migration: 571 2022 Total in migration: 531 2021 Total in migration: 512 2020 Total in migration: 501 2019 Total in migration: 438 2018 Total in migration: 374 2017 Total in migration: 334 2041 Total net migration: 160 2040 Total net migration: 161 2039 Total net migration: 161 2038 Total net migration: 166 2037 Total net migration: 165 2036 Total net migration: 167 2035 Total net migration: 170 2034 Total net migration: 171 2033 Total net migration: 175 2032 Total net migration: 180 2031 Total net migration: 181 2030 Total net migration: 187 2029 Total net migration: 183 2028 Total net migration: 192 2027 Total net migration: 189 2026 Total net migration: 198 2025 Total net migration: 209 2024 Total net migration: 181 2023 Total net migration: 173 2022 Total net migration: 149 2021 Total net migration: 149 2020 Total net migration: 152 2019 Total net migration: 103 2018 Total net migration: 44 2017 Total net migration: 10 2041 Total out migration: 775 2040 Total out migration: 756 2039 Total out migration: 737 2038 Total out migration: 717 2037 Total out migration: 697 2036 Total out migration: 677 2035 Total out migration: 656 2034 Total out migration: 637 2033 Total out migration: 617 2032 Total out migration: 597 2031 Total out migration: 575 2030 Total out migration: 554 2029 Total out migration: 534 2028 Total out migration: 511 2027 Total out migration: 489 2026 Total out migration: 465 2025 Total out migration: 440 2024 Total out migration: 420 2023 Total out migration: 398 2022 Total out migration: 382 2021 Total out migration: 363 2020 Total out migration: 349 2019 Total out migration: 335 2018 Total out migration: 330 2017 Total out migration: 324 2041 Total in migration: 935 2040 Total in migration: 916 2039 Total in migration: 898 2038 Total in migration: 883 2037 Total in migration: 861 2036 Total in migration: 844 2035 Total in migration: 826 2034 Total in migration: 807 2033 Total in migration: 791 2032 Total in migration: 776 2031 Total in migration: 756 2030 Total in migration: 741 2029 Total in migration: 717 2028 Total in migration: 703 2027 Total in migration: 677 2026 Total in migration: 663 2025 Total in migration: 649 2024 Total in migration: 601 2023 Total in migration: 571 2022 Total in migration: 531 2021 Total in migration: 512 2020 Total in migration: 501 2019 Total in migration: 438 2018 Total in migration: 374 2017 Total in migration: 334
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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