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Langwarrin - Langwarrin South Local Area

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Langwarrin - Langwarrin South Local Area is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,188 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Langwarrin - Langwarrin South Local AreaForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,8561,8441,8031,7731,767
Deaths--534601710839940
Natural increase/decrease--1,3221,2441,092934827
Net migration---152-264-56-299-381
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--00000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 113 2040 forecast population change: 80 2039 forecast population change: 88 2038 forecast population change: 92 2037 forecast population change: 91 2036 forecast population change: 130 2035 forecast population change: 116 2034 forecast population change: 131 2033 forecast population change: 136 2032 forecast population change: 139 2031 forecast population change: 178 2030 forecast population change: 160 2029 forecast population change: 233 2028 forecast population change: 232 2027 forecast population change: 250 2026 forecast population change: 266 2025 forecast population change: 218 2024 forecast population change: 229 2023 forecast population change: 140 2022 forecast population change: 146 2021 forecast population change: 208 2020 forecast population change: 213 2019 forecast population change: 223 2018 forecast population change: 219 2017 forecast population change: 325
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 159 2040 Natural increase: 162 2039 Natural increase: 166 2038 Natural increase: 169 2037 Natural increase: 171 2036 Natural increase: 176 2035 Natural increase: 181 2034 Natural increase: 186 2033 Natural increase: 192 2032 Natural increase: 199 2031 Natural increase: 205 2030 Natural increase: 212 2029 Natural increase: 218 2028 Natural increase: 226 2027 Natural increase: 231 2026 Natural increase: 237 2025 Natural increase: 243 2024 Natural increase: 249 2023 Natural increase: 255 2022 Natural increase: 260 2021 Natural increase: 262 2020 Natural increase: 266 2019 Natural increase: 268 2018 Natural increase: 268 2017 Natural increase: 258 2041 Total deaths: 194 2040 Total deaths: 191 2039 Total deaths: 188 2038 Total deaths: 185 2037 Total deaths: 183 2036 Total deaths: 177 2035 Total deaths: 173 2034 Total deaths: 168 2033 Total deaths: 163 2032 Total deaths: 157 2031 Total deaths: 152 2030 Total deaths: 148 2029 Total deaths: 142 2028 Total deaths: 136 2027 Total deaths: 132 2026 Total deaths: 127 2025 Total deaths: 123 2024 Total deaths: 119 2023 Total deaths: 117 2022 Total deaths: 114 2021 Total deaths: 113 2020 Total deaths: 108 2019 Total deaths: 104 2018 Total deaths: 102 2017 Total deaths: 106 2041 Total births: 353 2040 Total births: 353 2039 Total births: 353 2038 Total births: 353 2037 Total births: 354 2036 Total births: 353 2035 Total births: 354 2034 Total births: 354 2033 Total births: 355 2032 Total births: 356 2031 Total births: 358 2030 Total births: 359 2029 Total births: 360 2028 Total births: 362 2027 Total births: 363 2026 Total births: 364 2025 Total births: 366 2024 Total births: 368 2023 Total births: 372 2022 Total births: 374 2021 Total births: 375 2020 Total births: 374 2019 Total births: 373 2018 Total births: 370 2017 Total births: 364 2041 Natural increase: 159 2040 Natural increase: 162 2039 Natural increase: 166 2038 Natural increase: 169 2037 Natural increase: 171 2036 Natural increase: 176 2035 Natural increase: 181 2034 Natural increase: 186 2033 Natural increase: 192 2032 Natural increase: 199 2031 Natural increase: 205 2030 Natural increase: 212 2029 Natural increase: 218 2028 Natural increase: 226 2027 Natural increase: 231 2026 Natural increase: 237 2025 Natural increase: 243 2024 Natural increase: 249 2023 Natural increase: 255 2022 Natural increase: 260 2021 Natural increase: 262 2020 Natural increase: 266 2019 Natural increase: 268 2018 Natural increase: 268 2017 Natural increase: 258 2041 Total deaths: 194 2040 Total deaths: 191 2039 Total deaths: 188 2038 Total deaths: 185 2037 Total deaths: 183 2036 Total deaths: 177 2035 Total deaths: 173 2034 Total deaths: 168 2033 Total deaths: 163 2032 Total deaths: 157 2031 Total deaths: 152 2030 Total deaths: 148 2029 Total deaths: 142 2028 Total deaths: 136 2027 Total deaths: 132 2026 Total deaths: 127 2025 Total deaths: 123 2024 Total deaths: 119 2023 Total deaths: 117 2022 Total deaths: 114 2021 Total deaths: 113 2020 Total deaths: 108 2019 Total deaths: 104 2018 Total deaths: 102 2017 Total deaths: 106 2041 Total births: 353 2040 Total births: 353 2039 Total births: 353 2038 Total births: 353 2037 Total births: 354 2036 Total births: 353 2035 Total births: 354 2034 Total births: 354 2033 Total births: 355 2032 Total births: 356 2031 Total births: 358 2030 Total births: 359 2029 Total births: 360 2028 Total births: 362 2027 Total births: 363 2026 Total births: 364 2025 Total births: 366 2024 Total births: 368 2023 Total births: 372 2022 Total births: 374 2021 Total births: 375 2020 Total births: 374 2019 Total births: 373 2018 Total births: 370 2017 Total births: 364
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -50 2040 Total net migration: -86 2039 Total net migration: -81 2038 Total net migration: -81 2037 Total net migration: -84 2036 Total net migration: -49 2035 Total net migration: -69 2034 Total net migration: -58 2033 Total net migration: -59 2032 Total net migration: -64 2031 Total net migration: -30 2030 Total net migration: -56 2029 Total net migration: 12 2028 Total net migration: 3 2027 Total net migration: 15 2026 Total net migration: 25 2025 Total net migration: -29 2024 Total net migration: -24 2023 Total net migration: -119 2022 Total net migration: -117 2021 Total net migration: -58 2020 Total net migration: -57 2019 Total net migration: -49 2018 Total net migration: -52 2017 Total net migration: 64 2041 Total out migration: 2,382 2040 Total out migration: 2,377 2039 Total out migration: 2,372 2038 Total out migration: 2,367 2037 Total out migration: 2,362 2036 Total out migration: 2,353 2035 Total out migration: 2,347 2034 Total out migration: 2,336 2033 Total out migration: 2,328 2032 Total out migration: 2,323 2031 Total out migration: 2,313 2030 Total out migration: 2,308 2029 Total out migration: 2,290 2028 Total out migration: 2,276 2027 Total out migration: 2,262 2026 Total out migration: 2,247 2025 Total out migration: 2,238 2024 Total out migration: 2,226 2023 Total out migration: 2,225 2022 Total out migration: 2,220 2021 Total out migration: 2,211 2020 Total out migration: 2,197 2019 Total out migration: 2,184 2018 Total out migration: 2,164 2017 Total out migration: 2,143 2041 Total in migration: 2,333 2040 Total in migration: 2,291 2039 Total in migration: 2,291 2038 Total in migration: 2,286 2037 Total in migration: 2,278 2036 Total in migration: 2,304 2035 Total in migration: 2,278 2034 Total in migration: 2,278 2033 Total in migration: 2,269 2032 Total in migration: 2,259 2031 Total in migration: 2,282 2030 Total in migration: 2,252 2029 Total in migration: 2,302 2028 Total in migration: 2,279 2027 Total in migration: 2,277 2026 Total in migration: 2,272 2025 Total in migration: 2,209 2024 Total in migration: 2,202 2023 Total in migration: 2,106 2022 Total in migration: 2,102 2021 Total in migration: 2,153 2020 Total in migration: 2,140 2019 Total in migration: 2,135 2018 Total in migration: 2,112 2017 Total in migration: 2,207 2041 Total net migration: -50 2040 Total net migration: -86 2039 Total net migration: -81 2038 Total net migration: -81 2037 Total net migration: -84 2036 Total net migration: -49 2035 Total net migration: -69 2034 Total net migration: -58 2033 Total net migration: -59 2032 Total net migration: -64 2031 Total net migration: -30 2030 Total net migration: -56 2029 Total net migration: 12 2028 Total net migration: 3 2027 Total net migration: 15 2026 Total net migration: 25 2025 Total net migration: -29 2024 Total net migration: -24 2023 Total net migration: -119 2022 Total net migration: -117 2021 Total net migration: -58 2020 Total net migration: -57 2019 Total net migration: -49 2018 Total net migration: -52 2017 Total net migration: 64 2041 Total out migration: 2,382 2040 Total out migration: 2,377 2039 Total out migration: 2,372 2038 Total out migration: 2,367 2037 Total out migration: 2,362 2036 Total out migration: 2,353 2035 Total out migration: 2,347 2034 Total out migration: 2,336 2033 Total out migration: 2,328 2032 Total out migration: 2,323 2031 Total out migration: 2,313 2030 Total out migration: 2,308 2029 Total out migration: 2,290 2028 Total out migration: 2,276 2027 Total out migration: 2,262 2026 Total out migration: 2,247 2025 Total out migration: 2,238 2024 Total out migration: 2,226 2023 Total out migration: 2,225 2022 Total out migration: 2,220 2021 Total out migration: 2,211 2020 Total out migration: 2,197 2019 Total out migration: 2,184 2018 Total out migration: 2,164 2017 Total out migration: 2,143 2041 Total in migration: 2,333 2040 Total in migration: 2,291 2039 Total in migration: 2,291 2038 Total in migration: 2,286 2037 Total in migration: 2,278 2036 Total in migration: 2,304 2035 Total in migration: 2,278 2034 Total in migration: 2,278 2033 Total in migration: 2,269 2032 Total in migration: 2,259 2031 Total in migration: 2,282 2030 Total in migration: 2,252 2029 Total in migration: 2,302 2028 Total in migration: 2,279 2027 Total in migration: 2,277 2026 Total in migration: 2,272 2025 Total in migration: 2,209 2024 Total in migration: 2,202 2023 Total in migration: 2,106 2022 Total in migration: 2,102 2021 Total in migration: 2,153 2020 Total in migration: 2,140 2019 Total in migration: 2,135 2018 Total in migration: 2,112 2017 Total in migration: 2,207
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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