Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Frankston City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Frankston City indicate a 9.1% increase in population under working age, a 21.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Frankston City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Frankston City - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9,7097.010,0756.710,2156.5+506
5 to 9 8,7646.39,5626.39,6456.1+881
10 to 14 7,9635.79,2066.19,3706.0+1,407
15 to 19 8,3626.09,0756.09,4866.0+1,124
20 to 24 9,3096.79,3626.29,9756.4+666
25 to 29 9,7147.010,0716.710,3506.6+636
30 to 34 10,1907.310,4566.910,5536.7+363
35 to 39 9,4086.710,4356.910,6136.8+1,205
40 to 44 9,8117.010,3466.910,5256.7+714
45 to 49 9,8827.19,8236.510,3466.6+464
50 to 54 9,3616.79,6346.49,9716.3+610
55 to 59 8,8466.39,1106.09,1585.8+312
60 to 64 7,4515.38,2865.58,5255.4+1,074
65 to 69 6,7404.87,5175.07,7855.0+1,045
70 to 74 5,0613.66,1404.16,7934.3+1,732
75 to 79 3,6282.65,0713.45,7243.6+2,096
80 to 84 2,5751.83,4882.34,2482.7+1,673
85 and over2,7372.02,9372.03,7902.4+1,053
Total persons139,511100.0150,594100.0157,073100.0+17,562

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 3,790 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 4,248 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 5,724 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 6,793 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 7,785 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 8,525 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 9,158 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 9,971 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 10,346 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 10,525 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 10,613 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 10,553 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 10,350 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 9,975 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 9,486 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 9,370 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 9,645 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 10,215 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,937 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,488 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 5,071 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 6,140 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 7,517 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 8,286 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 9,110 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 9,634 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 9,823 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 10,346 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 10,435 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 10,456 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 10,071 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 9,362 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 9,075 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 9,206 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 9,562 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 10,075 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 2,737 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,575 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 3,628 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 5,061 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 6,740 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 7,451 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 8,846 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 9,361 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 9,882 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 9,811 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 9,408 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 10,190 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 9,714 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 9,309 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 8,362 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 7,963 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 8,764 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 9,709
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 852 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 759 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 653 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 653 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 268 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 240 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 338 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 523 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 180 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 178 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 97 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 280 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 613 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 411 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 163 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 84 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 140 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 200 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 913 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,443 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,079 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 777 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 835 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 264 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 273 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -59 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 535 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,027 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 266 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 357 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 53 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 713 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,243 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 798 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 366
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the Frankston City was ages 30 to 34 , which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 1,443 and account for 3.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 10,456 persons.

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