Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Frankston City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Frankston City indicate a 8.5% increase in population under working age, a 31.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Frankston City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Frankston City - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9,7097.09,7696.49,8806.0+171
5 to 9 8,7646.39,6686.49,6545.9+890
10 to 14 7,9635.79,2516.19,3505.7+1,387
15 to 19 8,3626.08,8365.89,4125.8+1,050
20 to 24 9,3096.78,9955.99,8436.0+534
25 to 29 9,7147.09,6456.410,1496.2+435
30 to 34 10,1907.310,1716.710,3386.3+148
35 to 39 9,4086.710,2656.810,3596.3+951
40 to 44 9,8117.010,2376.810,4036.4+591
45 to 49 9,8827.19,6986.410,3466.3+464
50 to 54 9,3616.79,6736.410,0016.1+640
55 to 59 8,8466.39,5006.39,7616.0+915
60 to 64 7,4515.38,8005.89,0635.5+1,612
65 to 69 6,7404.87,9145.28,6865.3+1,946
70 to 74 5,0613.66,5624.38,0995.0+3,038
75 to 79 3,6282.65,5153.67,1084.3+3,480
80 to 84 2,5711.83,8502.55,8423.6+3,271
85 and over2,7252.03,3002.25,3153.2+2,590
Total persons139,496100.0151,652100.0163,610100.0+24,114

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 5,315 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 5,842 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 7,108 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 8,099 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 8,686 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 9,063 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 9,761 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 10,001 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 10,346 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 10,403 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 10,359 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 10,338 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 10,149 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 9,843 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 9,412 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 9,350 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 9,654 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 9,880 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,300 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,850 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 5,515 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 6,562 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 7,914 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 8,800 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 9,500 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 9,673 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 9,698 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 10,237 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 10,265 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 10,171 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 9,645 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 8,995 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 8,836 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 9,251 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 9,668 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 9,769 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 2,725 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,571 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 3,628 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 5,061 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 6,740 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 7,451 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 8,846 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 9,361 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 9,882 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 9,811 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 9,408 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 10,190 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 9,714 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 9,309 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 8,362 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 7,963 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 8,764 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 9,709
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 2,015 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 1,992 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 1,592 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 1,537 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 772 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 263 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 260 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 328 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 649 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 165 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 93 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 167 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 504 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 848 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 576 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 99 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: -13 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 112 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 575 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,279 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,887 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,501 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,174 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1,349 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 654 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 312 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -184 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 426 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 857 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -69 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -314 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 474 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,288 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 904 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 60
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Frankston City was ages 30 to 34 , which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 1,887 and account for 3.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 10,265 persons.

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