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Frankston CityPopulation forecast

Skye

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Skye indicate a 7.5% increase in population under working age, a 49.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Skye is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Skye - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47328.77287.87177.2-15
5 to 96607.87508.07337.4+73
10 to 146557.87227.77247.3+69
15 to 196647.96416.96997.0+35
20 to 246237.46306.76606.6+37
25 to 295306.36186.66106.1+80
30 to 346758.06486.96396.4-36
35 to 396397.66627.16646.7+25
40 to 446617.87087.66706.7+9
45 to 496828.16647.16626.7-20
50 to 545987.16396.86216.2+23
55 to 594495.35896.35835.9+134
60 to 642893.44825.25105.1+221
65 to 691842.23123.34294.3+245
70 to 741551.81962.13813.8+226
75 to 791281.51441.53103.1+182
80 to 84710.81181.32082.1+137
85 and over350.4860.91371.4+102
Total persons8,430100.09,340100.09,957100.0+1,527
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Skye was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 193 and account for 5.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 750 persons.

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