Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Frankston City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Frankston City will increase by an average of 510 dwellings per annum to 69,987 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Frankston City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
Frankston CityChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
Frankston City+12,738+22.3
Carrum Downs+2,345+28.3
Frankston Central+3,755+65.0
Frankston Heights+714+13.1
Frankston North+235+9.1
Frankston South+916+12.4
Karingal+366+6.1
Langwarrin+1,513+17.2
Langwarrin South+341+86.6
Sandhurst+58+3.3
Seaford+1,695+21.1
Skye+800+28.4

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 69,987 2040 Total dwellings: 69,569 2039 Total dwellings: 69,149 2038 Total dwellings: 68,726 2037 Total dwellings: 68,299 2036 Total dwellings: 67,870 2035 Total dwellings: 67,434 2034 Total dwellings: 66,988 2033 Total dwellings: 66,530 2032 Total dwellings: 66,061 2031 Total dwellings: 65,589 2030 Total dwellings: 65,107 2029 Total dwellings: 64,617 2028 Total dwellings: 64,125 2027 Total dwellings: 63,619 2026 Total dwellings: 63,084 2025 Total dwellings: 62,531 2024 Total dwellings: 61,970 2023 Total dwellings: 61,389 2022 Total dwellings: 60,815 2021 Total dwellings: 60,213 2020 Total dwellings: 59,599 2019 Total dwellings: 58,967 2018 Total dwellings: 58,422 2017 Total dwellings: 57,837 2041 Total dwellings: 69,987 2040 Total dwellings: 69,569 2039 Total dwellings: 69,149 2038 Total dwellings: 68,726 2037 Total dwellings: 68,299 2036 Total dwellings: 67,870 2035 Total dwellings: 67,434 2034 Total dwellings: 66,988 2033 Total dwellings: 66,530 2032 Total dwellings: 66,061 2031 Total dwellings: 65,589 2030 Total dwellings: 65,107 2029 Total dwellings: 64,617 2028 Total dwellings: 64,125 2027 Total dwellings: 63,619 2026 Total dwellings: 63,084 2025 Total dwellings: 62,531 2024 Total dwellings: 61,970 2023 Total dwellings: 61,389 2022 Total dwellings: 60,815 2021 Total dwellings: 60,213 2020 Total dwellings: 59,599 2019 Total dwellings: 58,967 2018 Total dwellings: 58,422 2017 Total dwellings: 57,837 2041 Forecast development: 418 2040 Forecast development: 420 2039 Forecast development: 423 2038 Forecast development: 427 2037 Forecast development: 429 2036 Forecast development: 436 2035 Forecast development: 446 2034 Forecast development: 458 2033 Forecast development: 469 2032 Forecast development: 472 2031 Forecast development: 482 2030 Forecast development: 490 2029 Forecast development: 492 2028 Forecast development: 506 2027 Forecast development: 535 2026 Forecast development: 553 2025 Forecast development: 561 2024 Forecast development: 581 2023 Forecast development: 574 2022 Forecast development: 602 2021 Forecast development: 614 2020 Forecast development: 632 2019 Forecast development: 545 2018 Forecast development: 585 2017 Forecast development: 588
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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