Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Frankston City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Frankston City will increase by an average of 427 dwellings per annum to 66,189 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Frankston City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Frankston CityChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Frankston City+8,540+14.8
Frankston (suburb)+2,519+14.5
Frankston Metropolitan Activity Centre+1,168+52.0
Frankston North Local Area+198+7.7
Frankston Central & Frankston Heights Local Area+2,313+20.4
Karingal Local Area+206+3.4
Carrum Downs, Skye & Sandhurst Local Area+2,586+19.9
Seaford Local Area+1,160+14.3
Langwarrin - Langwarrin South Local Area+1,406+15.3
Frankston South Local Area+671+9.1
Carrum Downs+2,088+25.0
Frankston Central+1,679+28.8
Frankston Heights+634+11.5
Frankston North+198+7.7
Frankston South+671+9.1
Karingal+206+3.4
Langwarrin - Langwarrin South+1,406+15.3
Sandhurst+42+2.4
Seaford+1,160+14.3
Skye+456+16.0

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 66,189 2035 Total dwellings: 65,828 2034 Total dwellings: 65,469 2033 Total dwellings: 65,110 2032 Total dwellings: 64,749 2031 Total dwellings: 64,386 2030 Total dwellings: 64,022 2029 Total dwellings: 63,658 2028 Total dwellings: 63,281 2027 Total dwellings: 62,886 2026 Total dwellings: 62,476 2025 Total dwellings: 62,028 2024 Total dwellings: 61,563 2023 Total dwellings: 61,096 2022 Total dwellings: 60,591 2021 Total dwellings: 60,078 2020 Total dwellings: 59,564 2019 Total dwellings: 59,047 2018 Total dwellings: 58,567 2017 Total dwellings: 58,092 2036 Total dwellings: 66,189 2035 Total dwellings: 65,828 2034 Total dwellings: 65,469 2033 Total dwellings: 65,110 2032 Total dwellings: 64,749 2031 Total dwellings: 64,386 2030 Total dwellings: 64,022 2029 Total dwellings: 63,658 2028 Total dwellings: 63,281 2027 Total dwellings: 62,886 2026 Total dwellings: 62,476 2025 Total dwellings: 62,028 2024 Total dwellings: 61,563 2023 Total dwellings: 61,096 2022 Total dwellings: 60,591 2021 Total dwellings: 60,078 2020 Total dwellings: 59,564 2019 Total dwellings: 59,047 2018 Total dwellings: 58,567 2017 Total dwellings: 58,092 2036 Forecast development: 361 2035 Forecast development: 359 2034 Forecast development: 359 2033 Forecast development: 361 2032 Forecast development: 363 2031 Forecast development: 364 2030 Forecast development: 364 2029 Forecast development: 377 2028 Forecast development: 395 2027 Forecast development: 410 2026 Forecast development: 448 2025 Forecast development: 465 2024 Forecast development: 467 2023 Forecast development: 505 2022 Forecast development: 513 2021 Forecast development: 514 2020 Forecast development: 517 2019 Forecast development: 480 2018 Forecast development: 475 2017 Forecast development: 443
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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