Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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Frankston (suburb)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Frankston (suburb) will increase by an average of 193 dwellings per annum to 22,049 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Frankston City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • 2 Rosella Street Apartments - 26 dwellings (2017)
  • 22-24 Sheridan Avenue Apartments - 10 dwellings (2017)
  • 302-308 Nepean Highway Dwellings - 29 dwellings (2017)
  • 345 Nepean Highway - 39 dwellings (2017)
  • 35-37 Sheridan Avenue Apartments - 12 dwellings (2017-2018)
  • 358 Nepean Highway Apartments - 36 dwellings (2017-2019)
  • 4 Plowman Place - 93 dwellings (2017-2019)
  • 88 Young Street - 29 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • Beach and Queen Street - 16 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • 382-384 Nepean Highway Apartments - 19 dwellings (2017-2021)
  • 39-41 Hastings Road Apartments - 27 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • 398-400 Nepean Highway Apartments - 24 dwellings (2017-2029)
  • 92 Beach Street Apartments - 11 dwellings (2018)
  • Frankston RGZ - 73 dwellings (2018-2022)
  • Frankston structure plan - balance - 26 dwellings (2018)
  • Frankston structure plan - residential incremental change - 21 dwellings (2018)
  • Frankston structure plan - city centre - 28 dwellings (2018-2019)
  • Frankston structure plan - Nepean Highway Boulevard - 70 dwellings (2018-2035)
  • Frankston structure plan - potential housing - 45 dwellings (2019)
  • Frankston structure plan - residential intensification - 86 dwellings (2019-2024)
  • McMahons Road Dwellings - 15 dwellings (2020)
  • 14 Sandpiper Place - 15 dwellings (2020-2021)
  • 175 McMahons Road Future Potential - 48 dwellings (2020-2023)
  • Cranbourne Road Future Residential - 12 dwellings (2020-2023)
  • Frankston RGZ - 73 dwellings (2018-2022)
  • Small sites - 42 dwellings
  • High level of infill (63-80 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 22,049 2040 Total dwellings: 21,846 2039 Total dwellings: 21,643 2038 Total dwellings: 21,440 2037 Total dwellings: 21,237 2036 Total dwellings: 21,034 2035 Total dwellings: 20,831 2034 Total dwellings: 20,628 2033 Total dwellings: 20,425 2032 Total dwellings: 20,222 2031 Total dwellings: 20,019 2030 Total dwellings: 19,816 2029 Total dwellings: 19,613 2028 Total dwellings: 19,410 2027 Total dwellings: 19,207 2026 Total dwellings: 18,996 2025 Total dwellings: 18,781 2024 Total dwellings: 18,567 2023 Total dwellings: 18,354 2022 Total dwellings: 18,154 2021 Total dwellings: 17,955 2020 Total dwellings: 17,762 2019 Total dwellings: 17,568 2018 Total dwellings: 17,421 2017 Total dwellings: 17,311 2041 Total dwellings: 22,049 2040 Total dwellings: 21,846 2039 Total dwellings: 21,643 2038 Total dwellings: 21,440 2037 Total dwellings: 21,237 2036 Total dwellings: 21,034 2035 Total dwellings: 20,831 2034 Total dwellings: 20,628 2033 Total dwellings: 20,425 2032 Total dwellings: 20,222 2031 Total dwellings: 20,019 2030 Total dwellings: 19,816 2029 Total dwellings: 19,613 2028 Total dwellings: 19,410 2027 Total dwellings: 19,207 2026 Total dwellings: 18,996 2025 Total dwellings: 18,781 2024 Total dwellings: 18,567 2023 Total dwellings: 18,354 2022 Total dwellings: 18,154 2021 Total dwellings: 17,955 2020 Total dwellings: 17,762 2019 Total dwellings: 17,568 2018 Total dwellings: 17,421 2017 Total dwellings: 17,311 2041 Forecast development: 203 2040 Forecast development: 203 2039 Forecast development: 203 2038 Forecast development: 203 2037 Forecast development: 203 2036 Forecast development: 203 2035 Forecast development: 203 2034 Forecast development: 203 2033 Forecast development: 203 2032 Forecast development: 203 2031 Forecast development: 203 2030 Forecast development: 203 2029 Forecast development: 203 2028 Forecast development: 203 2027 Forecast development: 211 2026 Forecast development: 215 2025 Forecast development: 214 2024 Forecast development: 213 2023 Forecast development: 200 2022 Forecast development: 199 2021 Forecast development: 193 2020 Forecast development: 194 2019 Forecast development: 147 2018 Forecast development: 110 2017 Forecast development: 97
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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