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Frankston Central & Frankston Heights Local Area

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Frankston Central & Frankston Heights Local Area will increase by an average of 179 dwellings per annum to 15,693 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Frankston City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Hillston Rise - 31 dwellings (2023)
  • 83 Dandenong Road - 13 dwellings (2023-2024)
  • Frankston RGZ - 446 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • NPD - St Pauls Terrace (Frankston South) - 185 dwellings (2024-2031)
  • 5 Crathie Court - 24 dwellings (2025-2026)
  • Frankston Future Residential (District Netball Association) - 25 dwellings (2025-2028)
  • Frankston Golf Club (future) - 11 dwellings (2026-2027)
  • Frankston RGZ - 446 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • Future Residential - 60 dwellings (2027-2030)
  • 34 Birdwood Street Apartments - 113 dwellings (2028-2040)
  • Peninsula on the Bay - 59 dwellings (2030-2033)
  • 44 Beach Street Apartments - 10 dwellings (2031)
  • 6-10 Ebdale Street Apartments - 75 dwellings (2031-2035)
  • 39-41 Hastings Road Apartments - 23 dwellings (2017)
  • 398-400 Nepean Highway Apartments - 22 dwellings (2018)
  • 92 Beach Street Apartments - 24 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • Frankston RGZ - 446 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • Frankston structure plan - balance - 181 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • Frankston structure plan - residential incremental change - 60 dwellings (2019)
  • Frankston structure plan - city centre - 11 dwellings (2020)
  • Frankston structure plan - Nepean Highway Boulevard - 23 dwellings (2020)
  • Frankston structure plan - potential housing - 25 dwellings (2020)
  • Frankston structure plan - residential incremental change - 37 dwellings (2020)
  • Frankston structure plan - residential intensification - 149 dwellings (2021-2023)
  • Small sites - 9 dwellings
  • High level of infill (53-66 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 15,693 2040 Total dwellings: 15,500 2039 Total dwellings: 15,307 2038 Total dwellings: 15,114 2037 Total dwellings: 14,921 2036 Total dwellings: 14,728 2035 Total dwellings: 14,535 2034 Total dwellings: 14,342 2033 Total dwellings: 14,149 2032 Total dwellings: 13,956 2031 Total dwellings: 13,763 2030 Total dwellings: 13,570 2029 Total dwellings: 13,377 2028 Total dwellings: 13,184 2027 Total dwellings: 12,991 2026 Total dwellings: 12,798 2025 Total dwellings: 12,603 2024 Total dwellings: 12,409 2023 Total dwellings: 12,224 2022 Total dwellings: 12,052 2021 Total dwellings: 11,881 2020 Total dwellings: 11,716 2019 Total dwellings: 11,536 2018 Total dwellings: 11,403 2017 Total dwellings: 11,307 2041 Total dwellings: 15,693 2040 Total dwellings: 15,500 2039 Total dwellings: 15,307 2038 Total dwellings: 15,114 2037 Total dwellings: 14,921 2036 Total dwellings: 14,728 2035 Total dwellings: 14,535 2034 Total dwellings: 14,342 2033 Total dwellings: 14,149 2032 Total dwellings: 13,956 2031 Total dwellings: 13,763 2030 Total dwellings: 13,570 2029 Total dwellings: 13,377 2028 Total dwellings: 13,184 2027 Total dwellings: 12,991 2026 Total dwellings: 12,798 2025 Total dwellings: 12,603 2024 Total dwellings: 12,409 2023 Total dwellings: 12,224 2022 Total dwellings: 12,052 2021 Total dwellings: 11,881 2020 Total dwellings: 11,716 2019 Total dwellings: 11,536 2018 Total dwellings: 11,403 2017 Total dwellings: 11,307 2041 Forecast development: 193 2040 Forecast development: 193 2039 Forecast development: 193 2038 Forecast development: 193 2037 Forecast development: 193 2036 Forecast development: 193 2035 Forecast development: 193 2034 Forecast development: 193 2033 Forecast development: 193 2032 Forecast development: 193 2031 Forecast development: 193 2030 Forecast development: 193 2029 Forecast development: 193 2028 Forecast development: 193 2027 Forecast development: 193 2026 Forecast development: 195 2025 Forecast development: 194 2024 Forecast development: 185 2023 Forecast development: 172 2022 Forecast development: 171 2021 Forecast development: 165 2020 Forecast development: 180 2019 Forecast development: 133 2018 Forecast development: 96 2017 Forecast development: 83
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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