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Frankston CityPopulation forecast

Frankston Central & Frankston Heights Local Area

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Frankston Central & Frankston Heights Local Area will increase by an average of 179 dwellings per annum to 15,693 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Frankston Central & Frankston Heights Local Area. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • 15-17 Ebdale Street Apartments - 23 dwellings (2017)
  • Sol De Mer apartments - 22 dwellings (2018)
  • Frankston structure plan - balance - 181 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • Frankston structure plan - residential incremental change - 176 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • Frankston structure plan - residential intensification - 181 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • Mall Apartments - 60 dwellings (2019)
  • 19-23 Cambridge Street - 11 dwellings (2020)
  • 17 Mereweather Avenue - 23 dwellings (2020)
  • Grace Apartments - 25 dwellings (2020)
  • 325 Nepean Hwy - 37 dwellings (2020)
  • Beach and Queen Street - 14 dwellings (2021)
  • 6-12 Davey Street - 135 dwellings (2021-2023)
  • Frankston structure plan - Nepean Highway Boulevard - 1,062 dwellings (2021-2041)
  • 345 Nepean Highway - 26 dwellings (2022)
  • 5 Crathie Court - 16 dwellings (2022-2024)
  • Frankston structure plan - city centre - 454 dwellings (2022-2041)
  • 4 Douglas Grove Apartments - 26 dwellings (2023)
  • 35-37 Sheridan Avenue Apartments - 12 dwellings (2023)
  • 39-41 Hastings Road Apartments - 14 dwellings (2023)
  • 4 Plowman Place - 56 dwellings (2024)
  • 2 Rosella Street Apartments - 23 dwellings (2024-2025)
  • 398-400 Nepean Highway Apartments - 47 dwellings (2024-2026)
  • 424 Nepean Highway - 73 dwellings (2025)
  • 22-24 Sheridan Avenue Apartments - 21 dwellings (2026)
  • 88 Young Street - 14 dwellings (2026)
  • 33 Mereweather Avenue Apartments - 17 dwellings (2026)
  • 302-308 Nepean Highway Dwellings - 18 dwellings (2027)
  • 382-384 Nepean Highway Apartments - 32 dwellings (2027)
  • 446-450 Nepean Highway - 300 dwellings (2028-2035)
  • Small sites - 9 dwellings
  • High level of infill (53-66 dwellings per annum)

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