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Frankston Metropolitan Activity Centre

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Frankston Metropolitan Activity Centre will increase by an average of 123 dwellings per annum to 5,306 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Frankston City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • 15-17 Ebdale Street Apartments - 23 dwellings (2017)
  • Sol De Mer apartments - 22 dwellings (2018)
  • Frankston structure plan - balance - 181 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • Frankston structure plan - residential incremental change - 176 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • Frankston structure plan - residential intensification - 181 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • Mall Apartments - 60 dwellings (2019)
  • 17 Mereweather Avenue - 23 dwellings (2020)
  • Grace Apartments - 25 dwellings (2020)
  • 325 Nepean Hwy - 37 dwellings (2020)
  • Beach and Queen Street - 14 dwellings (2021)
  • 6-12 Davey Street - 135 dwellings (2021-2023)
  • Frankston structure plan - Nepean Highway Boulevard - 1,062 dwellings (2021-2041)
  • 345 Nepean Highway - 26 dwellings (2022)
  • Frankston structure plan - city centre - 454 dwellings (2022-2041)
  • 4 Douglas Grove Apartments - 26 dwellings (2023)
  • 35-37 Sheridan Avenue Apartments - 12 dwellings (2023)
  • 39-41 Hastings Road Apartments - 14 dwellings (2023)
  • 4 Plowman Place - 56 dwellings (2024)
  • 2 Rosella Street Apartments - 23 dwellings (2024-2025)
  • 398-400 Nepean Highway Apartments - 47 dwellings (2024-2026)
  • 424 Nepean Highway - 73 dwellings (2025)
  • 22-24 Sheridan Avenue Apartments - 21 dwellings (2026)
  • 88 Young Street - 14 dwellings (2026)
  • 33 Mereweather Avenue Apartments - 17 dwellings (2026)
  • 302-308 Nepean Highway Dwellings - 18 dwellings (2027)
  • 382-384 Nepean Highway Apartments - 32 dwellings (2027)
  • 446-450 Nepean Highway - 300 dwellings (2028-2035)
  • Small sites - 9 dwellings
  • No infill assumed
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 5,306 2040 Total dwellings: 5,166 2039 Total dwellings: 5,026 2038 Total dwellings: 4,886 2037 Total dwellings: 4,746 2036 Total dwellings: 4,606 2035 Total dwellings: 4,466 2034 Total dwellings: 4,326 2033 Total dwellings: 4,186 2032 Total dwellings: 4,046 2031 Total dwellings: 3,906 2030 Total dwellings: 3,766 2029 Total dwellings: 3,626 2028 Total dwellings: 3,486 2027 Total dwellings: 3,346 2026 Total dwellings: 3,206 2025 Total dwellings: 3,064 2024 Total dwellings: 2,923 2023 Total dwellings: 2,795 2022 Total dwellings: 2,680 2021 Total dwellings: 2,568 2020 Total dwellings: 2,463 2019 Total dwellings: 2,360 2018 Total dwellings: 2,285 2017 Total dwellings: 2,248 2041 Total dwellings: 5,306 2040 Total dwellings: 5,166 2039 Total dwellings: 5,026 2038 Total dwellings: 4,886 2037 Total dwellings: 4,746 2036 Total dwellings: 4,606 2035 Total dwellings: 4,466 2034 Total dwellings: 4,326 2033 Total dwellings: 4,186 2032 Total dwellings: 4,046 2031 Total dwellings: 3,906 2030 Total dwellings: 3,766 2029 Total dwellings: 3,626 2028 Total dwellings: 3,486 2027 Total dwellings: 3,346 2026 Total dwellings: 3,206 2025 Total dwellings: 3,064 2024 Total dwellings: 2,923 2023 Total dwellings: 2,795 2022 Total dwellings: 2,680 2021 Total dwellings: 2,568 2020 Total dwellings: 2,463 2019 Total dwellings: 2,360 2018 Total dwellings: 2,285 2017 Total dwellings: 2,248 2041 Forecast development: 140 2040 Forecast development: 140 2039 Forecast development: 140 2038 Forecast development: 140 2037 Forecast development: 140 2036 Forecast development: 140 2035 Forecast development: 140 2034 Forecast development: 140 2033 Forecast development: 140 2032 Forecast development: 140 2031 Forecast development: 140 2030 Forecast development: 140 2029 Forecast development: 140 2028 Forecast development: 140 2027 Forecast development: 140 2026 Forecast development: 142 2025 Forecast development: 141 2024 Forecast development: 128 2023 Forecast development: 115 2022 Forecast development: 112 2021 Forecast development: 105 2020 Forecast development: 103 2019 Forecast development: 75 2018 Forecast development: 37 2017 Forecast development: 23
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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