Frankston CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Seaford Local Area

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Seaford Local Area will increase by an average of 68 dwellings per annum to 9,720 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Frankston City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • 227 Seaford Road Dwellings - 10 dwellings (2021)
  • 39 Nepean Highway Apartments - 21 dwellings (2021-2023)
  • 58 Nepean Highway Dwellings - 15 dwellings (2022-2023)
  • 48-49 Nepean Highway Dwellings - 16 dwellings (2022-2023)
  • 18 Nepean Highway Apartments - 110 dwellings (2023-2028)
  • Horizon Seaford - 19 dwellings (2024)
  • 262-264 Seaford Road - 128 dwellings (2025-2036)
  • 32-34 Nepean Highway - 55 dwellings (2025-2041)
  • Orabel Apartments - 34 dwellings (2025-2041)
  • 37 Nepean Highway Apartments - 30 dwellings (2029-2033)
  • 159 Nepean highway - 70 dwellings (2029-2039)
  • 28 Nepean Highway - 60 dwellings (2030-2041)
  • 216 Nepean Highway - 17 dwellings (2017)
  • Seaford CZ1 - 64 dwellings (2019)
  • Seaford - C1Z potential - 20 dwellings (2021)
  • Small sites - 11 dwellings
  • High level of infill (25-63 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 9,720 2040 Total dwellings: 9,661 2039 Total dwellings: 9,602 2038 Total dwellings: 9,543 2037 Total dwellings: 9,484 2036 Total dwellings: 9,425 2035 Total dwellings: 9,366 2034 Total dwellings: 9,307 2033 Total dwellings: 9,248 2032 Total dwellings: 9,189 2031 Total dwellings: 9,130 2030 Total dwellings: 9,071 2029 Total dwellings: 9,012 2028 Total dwellings: 8,953 2027 Total dwellings: 8,891 2026 Total dwellings: 8,826 2025 Total dwellings: 8,758 2024 Total dwellings: 8,692 2023 Total dwellings: 8,615 2022 Total dwellings: 8,540 2021 Total dwellings: 8,443 2020 Total dwellings: 8,344 2019 Total dwellings: 8,245 2018 Total dwellings: 8,168 2017 Total dwellings: 8,112 2041 Total dwellings: 9,720 2040 Total dwellings: 9,661 2039 Total dwellings: 9,602 2038 Total dwellings: 9,543 2037 Total dwellings: 9,484 2036 Total dwellings: 9,425 2035 Total dwellings: 9,366 2034 Total dwellings: 9,307 2033 Total dwellings: 9,248 2032 Total dwellings: 9,189 2031 Total dwellings: 9,130 2030 Total dwellings: 9,071 2029 Total dwellings: 9,012 2028 Total dwellings: 8,953 2027 Total dwellings: 8,891 2026 Total dwellings: 8,826 2025 Total dwellings: 8,758 2024 Total dwellings: 8,692 2023 Total dwellings: 8,615 2022 Total dwellings: 8,540 2021 Total dwellings: 8,443 2020 Total dwellings: 8,344 2019 Total dwellings: 8,245 2018 Total dwellings: 8,168 2017 Total dwellings: 8,112 2041 Forecast development: 59 2040 Forecast development: 59 2039 Forecast development: 59 2038 Forecast development: 59 2037 Forecast development: 59 2036 Forecast development: 59 2035 Forecast development: 59 2034 Forecast development: 59 2033 Forecast development: 59 2032 Forecast development: 59 2031 Forecast development: 59 2030 Forecast development: 59 2029 Forecast development: 59 2028 Forecast development: 62 2027 Forecast development: 65 2026 Forecast development: 68 2025 Forecast development: 66 2024 Forecast development: 77 2023 Forecast development: 75 2022 Forecast development: 97 2021 Forecast development: 99 2020 Forecast development: 99 2019 Forecast development: 77 2018 Forecast development: 56 2017 Forecast development: 87
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
v19.07.26-1.0.1