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Frankston CityPopulation forecast

Seaford Local Area

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Seaford Local Area will increase by an average of 68 dwellings per annum to 9,720 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Seaford Local Area. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • 48-49 Nepean Highway Dwellings - 17 dwellings (2017)
  • Horizon Seaford - 17 dwellings (2019)
  • 262-264 Seaford Road - 11 dwellings (2020)
  • Seaspray Apartments - 36 dwellings (2020)
  • 200-203 Nepean Highway Dwellings - 20 dwellings (2021)
  • Orabel Apartments - 157 dwellings (2021-2024)
  • 32-34 Nepean Highway - 37 dwellings (2022)
  • 37 Nepean Highway Apartments - 10 dwellings (2024)
  • 159 Nepean highway - 10 dwellings (2025)
  • 290 Nepean Highway Apartments - 31 dwellings (2025)
  • 28 Nepean Highway - 30 dwellings (2026)
  • Future Residential (30 TI-TREE Cr) - 94 dwellings (2026-2034)
  • Seaford CZ1 - 70 dwellings (2026-2041)
  • 131 Nepean Highway Dwellings - 10 dwellings (2027)
  • Seaford CZ1 - 70 dwellings (2026-2041)
  • Small sites - 20 dwellings
  • High level of infill (25-63 dwellings per annum)

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