Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Carrum Downs, Skye & Sandhurst Local Area

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Carrum Downs, Skye & Sandhurst Local Area will increase by an average of 128 dwellings per annum to 16,104 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Frankston City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • 23 Brunnings Road - 26 dwellings (2017)
  • 30 Madisson Crescent - 10 dwellings (2017)
  • 63 Hall Road - 29 dwellings (2017)
  • 660-670 Frankston-Dandenong Road - 39 dwellings (2017)
  • Clifton Rise - 12 dwellings (2017-2018)
  • 57 McCormicks Road - 36 dwellings (2017-2019)
  • Evergreen Gardens - 93 dwellings (2017-2019)
  • Wilton Estate - 29 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • Wattlewood Estate - 16 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • 4 Hall Road - 19 dwellings (2017-2021)
  • 55 Brunnings Road - 27 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • 134 Cadles Road - 24 dwellings (2017-2029)
  • 151 Hall Road - 11 dwellings (2018)
  • 17 and 18 Pagett Road - 16 dwellings (2018)
  • 40 Hall Road - 12 dwellings (2018)
  • 66 William Road - 18 dwellings (2018)
  • 9-15 Cadles Road - 21 dwellings (2018)
  • 33 McCormicks Road - 28 dwellings (2018-2019)
  • 43 Hall Road - 70 dwellings (2018-2035)
  • 67 Broderick Road - 45 dwellings (2019)
  • Clifton Grove (Future Stages) - 82 dwellings (2019-2024)
  • Hall Road Future Residential - 66 dwellings (2020-2024)
  • Cadles Road Future Residential - 15 dwellings (2020)
  • Frankston -Dandenong Road Future Potential - 15 dwellings (2020-2021)
  • Hall Road Future Residential - 66 dwellings (2020-2024)
  • Lats Avenue Future Residential - 12 dwellings (2020-2023)
  • 54-56 William Rd - 36 dwellings (2021-2022)
  • 81 Boundary Road Dwellings - 171 dwellings (2021-2028)
  • Carrum Downs - 10 dwellings (2022)
  • Carrum Downs RGZ - 37 dwellings (2022-2023)
  • Hall Road Future Residential - 66 dwellings (2020-2024)
  • Gold Jacket Estate - 11 dwellings (2019-2020)
  • Green Jacket Estate - 37 dwellings (2019-2022)
  • Sandhurst Balance - 41 dwellings (2020-2022)
  • 5 Selwyn Court Dwellings - 157 dwellings (2021-2024)
  • 2 Sanoma Drive Townhouses - 37 dwellings (2022)
  • 22 McCormicks Road Dwellings - 10 dwellings (2024)
  • 42 Lily Way Dwellings - 10 dwellings (2025)
  • Skye Future Residential - 31 dwellings (2025)
  • Skye Valley Park - 124 dwellings (2026-2034)
  • 36 McCormicks Road Dwellings - 41 dwellings (2026-2041)
  • 370 Ballarto Road Townhouses - 10 dwellings (2027)
  • Small sites - 63 dwellings
  • High level of infill (40-75 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 16,104 2040 Total dwellings: 16,035 2039 Total dwellings: 15,964 2038 Total dwellings: 15,893 2037 Total dwellings: 15,820 2036 Total dwellings: 15,747 2035 Total dwellings: 15,672 2034 Total dwellings: 15,590 2033 Total dwellings: 15,501 2032 Total dwellings: 15,405 2031 Total dwellings: 15,307 2030 Total dwellings: 15,203 2029 Total dwellings: 15,094 2028 Total dwellings: 14,983 2027 Total dwellings: 14,865 2026 Total dwellings: 14,732 2025 Total dwellings: 14,588 2024 Total dwellings: 14,434 2023 Total dwellings: 14,277 2022 Total dwellings: 14,110 2021 Total dwellings: 13,937 2020 Total dwellings: 13,753 2019 Total dwellings: 13,557 2018 Total dwellings: 13,379 2017 Total dwellings: 13,143 2041 Total dwellings: 16,104 2040 Total dwellings: 16,035 2039 Total dwellings: 15,964 2038 Total dwellings: 15,893 2037 Total dwellings: 15,820 2036 Total dwellings: 15,747 2035 Total dwellings: 15,672 2034 Total dwellings: 15,590 2033 Total dwellings: 15,501 2032 Total dwellings: 15,405 2031 Total dwellings: 15,307 2030 Total dwellings: 15,203 2029 Total dwellings: 15,094 2028 Total dwellings: 14,983 2027 Total dwellings: 14,865 2026 Total dwellings: 14,732 2025 Total dwellings: 14,588 2024 Total dwellings: 14,434 2023 Total dwellings: 14,277 2022 Total dwellings: 14,110 2021 Total dwellings: 13,937 2020 Total dwellings: 13,753 2019 Total dwellings: 13,557 2018 Total dwellings: 13,379 2017 Total dwellings: 13,143 2041 Forecast development: 69 2040 Forecast development: 71 2039 Forecast development: 71 2038 Forecast development: 73 2037 Forecast development: 73 2036 Forecast development: 75 2035 Forecast development: 82 2034 Forecast development: 89 2033 Forecast development: 96 2032 Forecast development: 98 2031 Forecast development: 104 2030 Forecast development: 109 2029 Forecast development: 111 2028 Forecast development: 118 2027 Forecast development: 133 2026 Forecast development: 144 2025 Forecast development: 154 2024 Forecast development: 157 2023 Forecast development: 167 2022 Forecast development: 173 2021 Forecast development: 184 2020 Forecast development: 196 2019 Forecast development: 178 2018 Forecast development: 236 2017 Forecast development: 242
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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