Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Frankston City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Frankston City is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Frankston City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • A range of new housing opportunities across the City, particularly in the Frankston Central, Carrum Downs, and Seaford areas which are expected to attract a range of household types, predominantly young couples
  • The City is expected to experience a comparative loss of young families, retirees and the elderly (50+ years) due to a limited ongoing supply of greenfield land
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -221 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -259 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -338 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -279 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -279 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -311 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -174 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -71 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -127 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 55 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 123 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 192 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 675 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 626 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 207 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -258 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -374 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -173 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -200 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -231 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -344 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -262 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -275 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -328 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -135 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -90 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 120 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 133 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 213 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 662 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 781 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 325 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -158 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -336 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -150 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -239 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -180 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -269 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -294 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -223 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -266 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -138 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -35 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -64 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 188 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 230 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 225 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 558 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 691 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 411 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -60 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -225 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -75 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -221 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -259 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -338 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -279 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -279 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -311 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -174 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -71 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -127 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 55 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 123 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 192 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 675 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 626 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 207 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -258 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -374 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -173 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -200 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -231 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -344 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -262 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -275 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -328 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -135 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -90 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 120 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 133 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 213 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 662 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 781 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 325 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -158 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -336 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -150 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -239 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -180 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -269 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -294 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -223 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -266 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -138 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -35 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -64 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 188 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 230 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 225 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 558 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 691 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 411 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -60 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -225 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -75
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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