Frankston CityPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Frankston City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the Frankston City is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Frankston City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • A range of new housing opportunities across the City, particularly in the Skye, Sandhurst, Carrum Downs and Frankston Central areas which are expected to attract a range of household types predominantly young couples, young and maturing families
  • The City is expected to experience loss in older adults and retirees (50-79 years) as well as young children (0-9 years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -470 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -320 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -361 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -391 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -446 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -407 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -447 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -166 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -83 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 8 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 92 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 221 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 768 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 697 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 366 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -145 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -366 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -387 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -372 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -167 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -325 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -324 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -374 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -424 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -358 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -247 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 54 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 143 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 192 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 318 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 807 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 950 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 504 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 16 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -272 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -304 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -382 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -83 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -190 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -294 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -263 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -353 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -385 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -173 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -89 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 347 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 289 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 273 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 740 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 919 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 647 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 98 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -214 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -237 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -470 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -320 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -361 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -391 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -446 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -407 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -447 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -166 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -83 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 8 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 92 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 221 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 768 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 697 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 366 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -145 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -366 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -387 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -372 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -167 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -325 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -324 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -374 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -424 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -358 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -247 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 54 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 143 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 192 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 318 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 807 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 950 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 504 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 16 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -272 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -304 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -382 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -83 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -190 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -294 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -263 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -353 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -385 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -173 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -89 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 347 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 289 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 273 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 740 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 919 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 647 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 98 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -214 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -237
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
v18.06.19-1.0.1