Frankston CityPopulation forecast
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Frankston Central

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Frankston Central indicate a 30.9% increase in population under working age, a 36.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 18.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Frankston City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Frankston Central - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5735.37805.99645.5+391
5 to 9 4554.26565.08144.7+359
10 to 14 4954.65574.27404.3+245
15 to 19 5164.86585.08604.9+344
20 to 24 8377.89817.51,2427.1+405
25 to 29 9538.91,1268.61,4658.4+512
30 to 34 9068.51,0447.91,3427.7+436
35 to 39 6916.58896.81,1516.6+460
40 to 44 7076.68326.31,0576.1+350
45 to 49 7717.27846.01,0466.0+275
50 to 54 7587.18476.41,0516.1+293
55 to 59 6996.58766.71,0576.1+358
60 to 64 6506.18206.21,0085.8+358
65 to 69 5315.07025.39575.5+426
70 to 74 4013.75924.58695.0+468
75 to 79 2892.74393.37054.1+416
80 to 84 2182.02882.25143.0+296
85 and over2622.42972.35313.1+269
Total persons10,713100.013,169100.017,372100.0+6,659

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 531 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 514 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 705 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 869 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 957 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,008 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,057 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,051 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,046 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,057 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,151 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 1,342 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,465 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,242 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 860 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 740 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 814 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 964 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 297 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 288 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 439 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 592 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 702 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 820 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 876 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 847 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 784 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 832 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 889 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,044 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,126 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 981 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 658 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 557 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 656 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 780 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 262 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 218 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 289 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 401 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 531 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 650 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 699 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 758 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 771 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 707 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 691 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 906 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 953 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 837 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 516 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 495 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 455 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 573
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 234 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 226 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 266 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 277 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 255 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 187 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 181 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 204 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 262 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 225 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 262 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 297 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 339 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 260 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 201 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 183 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 159 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 184 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 35 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 70 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 150 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 191 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 171 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 170 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 177 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 88 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 124 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 198 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 138 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 173 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 144 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 142 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 62 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 201 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 207
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Frankston Central was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4 , which is expected to increase by 207 and account for 5.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,126 persons.

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