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Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast

Cardinia Road East

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Cardinia Road East indicate a 2.8% increase in males under working age, a 4.4% increase in males of retirement age, and a 0.9% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cardinia Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cardinia Road East - Total males[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222041Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47729.97499.47168.3-56
5 to 97789.981410.26767.9-102
10 to 146027.76498.26007.0-2
15 to 195156.65086.45446.3+29
20 to 245116.54876.15196.0+9
25 to 296238.06267.95696.6-54
30 to 3478910.179510.06347.4-155
35 to 3982010.580010.16327.3-189
40 to 445647.26007.55736.7+10
45 to 494996.44886.15446.3+45
50 to 543634.63995.05426.3+179
55 to 593043.93164.05606.5+256
60 to 641902.42082.64535.3+264
65 to 691882.41672.13884.5+200
70 to 741261.61391.72623.0+135
75 to 791131.41321.71902.2+77
80 to 84410.5360.51151.3+73
85 and over270.3430.5921.1+65
Total persons7,823100.07,953100.08,608100.0+785
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for males in Cardinia Road East was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 10.5% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 47 and account for 8.2% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2022 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 814 males.

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