Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Drouin (North)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Drouin (North) will increase by an average of 128 dwellings per annum to 6,657 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Baw Baw Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Residential development forecasts assume:

  • Average growth of 128 dwellings per annum from 2017-2041
  • Short to medium term development driven by Bellmar Glen Estate, (135 dwellings), Jacksons View (322 dwellings), Sanctuary Lifestyle Retirement Village (170 dwellings) and 944 Princess Highway (dwellings). Medium to longer term development driven by the Drouin PSP (1,213 dwellings) including Gabbott, Wellwood and McGlone.
  • Low level of infill (9 dwellings per annum) assumed

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 6,657 2040 Total dwellings: 6,531 2039 Total dwellings: 6,406 2038 Total dwellings: 6,279 2037 Total dwellings: 6,154 2036 Total dwellings: 6,028 2035 Total dwellings: 5,901 2034 Total dwellings: 5,774 2033 Total dwellings: 5,650 2032 Total dwellings: 5,525 2031 Total dwellings: 5,398 2030 Total dwellings: 5,269 2029 Total dwellings: 5,141 2028 Total dwellings: 5,010 2027 Total dwellings: 4,878 2026 Total dwellings: 4,745 2025 Total dwellings: 4,612 2024 Total dwellings: 4,473 2023 Total dwellings: 4,333 2022 Total dwellings: 4,193 2021 Total dwellings: 4,053 2020 Total dwellings: 3,919 2019 Total dwellings: 3,799 2018 Total dwellings: 3,693 2017 Total dwellings: 3,584 2041 Total dwellings: 6,657 2040 Total dwellings: 6,531 2039 Total dwellings: 6,406 2038 Total dwellings: 6,279 2037 Total dwellings: 6,154 2036 Total dwellings: 6,028 2035 Total dwellings: 5,901 2034 Total dwellings: 5,774 2033 Total dwellings: 5,650 2032 Total dwellings: 5,525 2031 Total dwellings: 5,398 2030 Total dwellings: 5,269 2029 Total dwellings: 5,141 2028 Total dwellings: 5,010 2027 Total dwellings: 4,878 2026 Total dwellings: 4,745 2025 Total dwellings: 4,612 2024 Total dwellings: 4,473 2023 Total dwellings: 4,333 2022 Total dwellings: 4,193 2021 Total dwellings: 4,053 2020 Total dwellings: 3,919 2019 Total dwellings: 3,799 2018 Total dwellings: 3,693 2017 Total dwellings: 3,584 2041 Forecast development: 126 2040 Forecast development: 125 2039 Forecast development: 127 2038 Forecast development: 125 2037 Forecast development: 126 2036 Forecast development: 127 2035 Forecast development: 127 2034 Forecast development: 124 2033 Forecast development: 125 2032 Forecast development: 127 2031 Forecast development: 129 2030 Forecast development: 128 2029 Forecast development: 131 2028 Forecast development: 132 2027 Forecast development: 133 2026 Forecast development: 133 2025 Forecast development: 139 2024 Forecast development: 140 2023 Forecast development: 140 2022 Forecast development: 140 2021 Forecast development: 134 2020 Forecast development: 120 2019 Forecast development: 106 2018 Forecast development: 109 2017 Forecast development: 135
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
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