Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
Skip to content

Warragul (South)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Warragul (South) will increase by an average of 52 dwellings per annum to 3,189 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Baw Baw Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Residential development forecasts assume:

  • Average growth of 52 dwellings per annum from 2017-2041
  • Lower rates of development are forecast in the short to medium term (27 dwellings per annum from 2017-2026), with rates increasing to 108 in the longer term driven by Warragul PSP (692 dwellings)
  • Low to medium level of infill (7 dwellings per annum) assumed

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 3,189 2040 Total dwellings: 3,081 2039 Total dwellings: 2,975 2038 Total dwellings: 2,873 2037 Total dwellings: 2,781 2036 Total dwellings: 2,690 2035 Total dwellings: 2,603 2034 Total dwellings: 2,527 2033 Total dwellings: 2,469 2032 Total dwellings: 2,421 2031 Total dwellings: 2,371 2030 Total dwellings: 2,322 2029 Total dwellings: 2,283 2028 Total dwellings: 2,246 2027 Total dwellings: 2,207 2026 Total dwellings: 2,174 2025 Total dwellings: 2,137 2024 Total dwellings: 2,102 2023 Total dwellings: 2,071 2022 Total dwellings: 2,044 2021 Total dwellings: 2,016 2020 Total dwellings: 1,986 2019 Total dwellings: 1,962 2018 Total dwellings: 1,937 2017 Total dwellings: 1,914 2041 Total dwellings: 3,189 2040 Total dwellings: 3,081 2039 Total dwellings: 2,975 2038 Total dwellings: 2,873 2037 Total dwellings: 2,781 2036 Total dwellings: 2,690 2035 Total dwellings: 2,603 2034 Total dwellings: 2,527 2033 Total dwellings: 2,469 2032 Total dwellings: 2,421 2031 Total dwellings: 2,371 2030 Total dwellings: 2,322 2029 Total dwellings: 2,283 2028 Total dwellings: 2,246 2027 Total dwellings: 2,207 2026 Total dwellings: 2,174 2025 Total dwellings: 2,137 2024 Total dwellings: 2,102 2023 Total dwellings: 2,071 2022 Total dwellings: 2,044 2021 Total dwellings: 2,016 2020 Total dwellings: 1,986 2019 Total dwellings: 1,962 2018 Total dwellings: 1,937 2017 Total dwellings: 1,914 2041 Forecast development: 108 2040 Forecast development: 106 2039 Forecast development: 102 2038 Forecast development: 92 2037 Forecast development: 91 2036 Forecast development: 87 2035 Forecast development: 76 2034 Forecast development: 58 2033 Forecast development: 48 2032 Forecast development: 50 2031 Forecast development: 49 2030 Forecast development: 39 2029 Forecast development: 37 2028 Forecast development: 39 2027 Forecast development: 33 2026 Forecast development: 37 2025 Forecast development: 35 2024 Forecast development: 31 2023 Forecast development: 27 2022 Forecast development: 28 2021 Forecast development: 30 2020 Forecast development: 24 2019 Forecast development: 25 2018 Forecast development: 23 2017 Forecast development: 13
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
v19.09.08-1.0.0