Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Warragul

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Warragul will increase by an average of 247 dwellings per annum to 12,734 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Baw Baw Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Residential development forecasts assume:

  • Average growth of 247 dwellings per annum from 2017-2041
  • Drouin includes both Warragul (North) and Warragul (South) small areas. These two areas combined account for 41% of assumed residential development in Baw Baw Shire to 2041

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 12,734 2040 Total dwellings: 12,427 2039 Total dwellings: 12,122 2038 Total dwellings: 11,820 2037 Total dwellings: 11,529 2036 Total dwellings: 11,238 2035 Total dwellings: 10,952 2034 Total dwellings: 10,677 2033 Total dwellings: 10,420 2032 Total dwellings: 10,172 2031 Total dwellings: 9,925 2030 Total dwellings: 9,676 2029 Total dwellings: 9,437 2028 Total dwellings: 9,199 2027 Total dwellings: 8,960 2026 Total dwellings: 8,726 2025 Total dwellings: 8,493 2024 Total dwellings: 8,262 2023 Total dwellings: 8,036 2022 Total dwellings: 7,812 2021 Total dwellings: 7,591 2020 Total dwellings: 7,371 2019 Total dwellings: 7,157 2018 Total dwellings: 6,944 2017 Total dwellings: 6,739 2041 Total dwellings: 12,734 2040 Total dwellings: 12,427 2039 Total dwellings: 12,122 2038 Total dwellings: 11,820 2037 Total dwellings: 11,529 2036 Total dwellings: 11,238 2035 Total dwellings: 10,952 2034 Total dwellings: 10,677 2033 Total dwellings: 10,420 2032 Total dwellings: 10,172 2031 Total dwellings: 9,925 2030 Total dwellings: 9,676 2029 Total dwellings: 9,437 2028 Total dwellings: 9,199 2027 Total dwellings: 8,960 2026 Total dwellings: 8,726 2025 Total dwellings: 8,493 2024 Total dwellings: 8,262 2023 Total dwellings: 8,036 2022 Total dwellings: 7,812 2021 Total dwellings: 7,591 2020 Total dwellings: 7,371 2019 Total dwellings: 7,157 2018 Total dwellings: 6,944 2017 Total dwellings: 6,739 2041 Forecast development: 307 2040 Forecast development: 305 2039 Forecast development: 302 2038 Forecast development: 291 2037 Forecast development: 291 2036 Forecast development: 286 2035 Forecast development: 275 2034 Forecast development: 257 2033 Forecast development: 248 2032 Forecast development: 247 2031 Forecast development: 249 2030 Forecast development: 239 2029 Forecast development: 238 2028 Forecast development: 239 2027 Forecast development: 234 2026 Forecast development: 233 2025 Forecast development: 231 2024 Forecast development: 226 2023 Forecast development: 224 2022 Forecast development: 221 2021 Forecast development: 220 2020 Forecast development: 214 2019 Forecast development: 213 2018 Forecast development: 205 2017 Forecast development: 183
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
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