Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Drouin

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Drouin will increase by an average of 232 dwellings per annum to 11,022 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Baw Baw Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Residential development forecasts assume:

  • Average growth of 232 dwellings per annum from 2017-2041
  • Drouin includes both Drouin (North) and Drouin (South) small areas. These two areas combined account for 39% of assumed residential development in Baw Baw Shire to 2041

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 11,022 2040 Total dwellings: 10,762 2039 Total dwellings: 10,505 2038 Total dwellings: 10,246 2037 Total dwellings: 9,992 2036 Total dwellings: 9,735 2035 Total dwellings: 9,478 2034 Total dwellings: 9,222 2033 Total dwellings: 8,970 2032 Total dwellings: 8,718 2031 Total dwellings: 8,471 2030 Total dwellings: 8,225 2029 Total dwellings: 7,990 2028 Total dwellings: 7,753 2027 Total dwellings: 7,519 2026 Total dwellings: 7,288 2025 Total dwellings: 7,064 2024 Total dwellings: 6,838 2023 Total dwellings: 6,617 2022 Total dwellings: 6,400 2021 Total dwellings: 6,188 2020 Total dwellings: 5,982 2019 Total dwellings: 5,792 2018 Total dwellings: 5,621 2017 Total dwellings: 5,441 2041 Total dwellings: 11,022 2040 Total dwellings: 10,762 2039 Total dwellings: 10,505 2038 Total dwellings: 10,246 2037 Total dwellings: 9,992 2036 Total dwellings: 9,735 2035 Total dwellings: 9,478 2034 Total dwellings: 9,222 2033 Total dwellings: 8,970 2032 Total dwellings: 8,718 2031 Total dwellings: 8,471 2030 Total dwellings: 8,225 2029 Total dwellings: 7,990 2028 Total dwellings: 7,753 2027 Total dwellings: 7,519 2026 Total dwellings: 7,288 2025 Total dwellings: 7,064 2024 Total dwellings: 6,838 2023 Total dwellings: 6,617 2022 Total dwellings: 6,400 2021 Total dwellings: 6,188 2020 Total dwellings: 5,982 2019 Total dwellings: 5,792 2018 Total dwellings: 5,621 2017 Total dwellings: 5,441 2041 Forecast development: 260 2040 Forecast development: 257 2039 Forecast development: 259 2038 Forecast development: 254 2037 Forecast development: 257 2036 Forecast development: 257 2035 Forecast development: 256 2034 Forecast development: 252 2033 Forecast development: 252 2032 Forecast development: 247 2031 Forecast development: 246 2030 Forecast development: 235 2029 Forecast development: 237 2028 Forecast development: 234 2027 Forecast development: 231 2026 Forecast development: 224 2025 Forecast development: 226 2024 Forecast development: 221 2023 Forecast development: 217 2022 Forecast development: 212 2021 Forecast development: 206 2020 Forecast development: 190 2019 Forecast development: 171 2018 Forecast development: 180 2017 Forecast development: 210
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
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