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Hume CityPopulation forecast

Craigieburn (North - Central)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Craigieburn (North - Central) indicate a 10.6% increase in population under working age, a 86.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 26.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Craigieburn (North - Central) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Craigieburn (North - Central) - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44,12211.53,7458.33,2517.4-871
5 to 93,3439.33,6148.13,1037.1-239
10 to 142,3806.73,5307.92,8846.6+504
15 to 192,1616.03,0866.92,7506.3+589
20 to 242,4746.93,0266.72,8576.5+383
25 to 293,4049.53,5037.83,1447.2-260
30 to 344,01411.23,9978.93,3907.8-624
35 to 393,4239.64,0369.03,3437.6-80
40 to 442,4306.83,4677.72,8906.6+461
45 to 492,0015.63,0676.82,8526.5+851
50 to 541,6884.72,5225.62,7376.3+1,049
55 to 591,3663.82,0494.62,5645.9+1,199
60 to 641,0482.91,6633.72,2215.1+1,173
65 to 698002.21,3032.91,8274.2+1,026
70 to 744961.49492.11,4583.3+962
75 to 792990.86781.51,1482.6+849
80 to 841830.53920.97671.8+584
85 and over1370.42560.65381.2+401
Total persons35,768100.044,884100.043,724100.0+7,956
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Craigieburn (North - Central) was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 11.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 1,151 and account for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 4,036 persons.

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