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Craigieburn (North - Central)

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Craigieburn (North - Central) is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 5,502 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Craigieburn (North - Central)Forecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--3,3723,5353,4973,2983,176
Deaths--536631733826905
Natural increase/decrease--2,8362,9042,7642,4722,271
Net migration--2,666579-2,652-3,365-2,781
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--013001300

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: -83 2040 forecast population change: -84 2039 forecast population change: -99 2038 forecast population change: -115 2037 forecast population change: -128 2036 forecast population change: -158 2035 forecast population change: -172 2034 forecast population change: -176 2033 forecast population change: -187 2032 forecast population change: -71 2031 forecast population change: -212 2030 forecast population change: -97 2029 forecast population change: -1 2028 forecast population change: 173 2027 forecast population change: 249 2026 forecast population change: 341 2025 forecast population change: 500 2024 forecast population change: 721 2023 forecast population change: 861 2022 forecast population change: 1,191 2021 forecast population change: 1,115 2020 forecast population change: 1,267 2019 forecast population change: 1,065 2018 forecast population change: 771 2017 forecast population change: 1,285
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 443 2040 Natural increase: 448 2039 Natural increase: 454 2038 Natural increase: 460 2037 Natural increase: 466 2036 Natural increase: 474 2035 Natural increase: 483 2034 Natural increase: 493 2033 Natural increase: 505 2032 Natural increase: 517 2031 Natural increase: 531 2030 Natural increase: 543 2029 Natural increase: 555 2028 Natural increase: 564 2027 Natural increase: 571 2026 Natural increase: 578 2025 Natural increase: 583 2024 Natural increase: 584 2023 Natural increase: 582 2022 Natural increase: 577 2021 Natural increase: 572 2020 Natural increase: 564 2019 Natural increase: 563 2018 Natural increase: 571 2017 Natural increase: 567 2041 Total deaths: 187 2040 Total deaths: 184 2039 Total deaths: 181 2038 Total deaths: 178 2037 Total deaths: 175 2036 Total deaths: 172 2035 Total deaths: 169 2034 Total deaths: 165 2033 Total deaths: 162 2032 Total deaths: 158 2031 Total deaths: 154 2030 Total deaths: 151 2029 Total deaths: 147 2028 Total deaths: 143 2027 Total deaths: 139 2026 Total deaths: 135 2025 Total deaths: 131 2024 Total deaths: 126 2023 Total deaths: 122 2022 Total deaths: 118 2021 Total deaths: 114 2020 Total deaths: 110 2019 Total deaths: 107 2018 Total deaths: 104 2017 Total deaths: 101 2041 Total births: 630 2040 Total births: 632 2039 Total births: 635 2038 Total births: 638 2037 Total births: 641 2036 Total births: 646 2035 Total births: 652 2034 Total births: 658 2033 Total births: 666 2032 Total births: 675 2031 Total births: 685 2030 Total births: 694 2029 Total births: 702 2028 Total births: 706 2027 Total births: 710 2026 Total births: 713 2025 Total births: 714 2024 Total births: 710 2023 Total births: 704 2022 Total births: 695 2021 Total births: 685 2020 Total births: 674 2019 Total births: 669 2018 Total births: 675 2017 Total births: 669 2041 Natural increase: 443 2040 Natural increase: 448 2039 Natural increase: 454 2038 Natural increase: 460 2037 Natural increase: 466 2036 Natural increase: 474 2035 Natural increase: 483 2034 Natural increase: 493 2033 Natural increase: 505 2032 Natural increase: 517 2031 Natural increase: 531 2030 Natural increase: 543 2029 Natural increase: 555 2028 Natural increase: 564 2027 Natural increase: 571 2026 Natural increase: 578 2025 Natural increase: 583 2024 Natural increase: 584 2023 Natural increase: 582 2022 Natural increase: 577 2021 Natural increase: 572 2020 Natural increase: 564 2019 Natural increase: 563 2018 Natural increase: 571 2017 Natural increase: 567 2041 Total deaths: 187 2040 Total deaths: 184 2039 Total deaths: 181 2038 Total deaths: 178 2037 Total deaths: 175 2036 Total deaths: 172 2035 Total deaths: 169 2034 Total deaths: 165 2033 Total deaths: 162 2032 Total deaths: 158 2031 Total deaths: 154 2030 Total deaths: 151 2029 Total deaths: 147 2028 Total deaths: 143 2027 Total deaths: 139 2026 Total deaths: 135 2025 Total deaths: 131 2024 Total deaths: 126 2023 Total deaths: 122 2022 Total deaths: 118 2021 Total deaths: 114 2020 Total deaths: 110 2019 Total deaths: 107 2018 Total deaths: 104 2017 Total deaths: 101 2041 Total births: 630 2040 Total births: 632 2039 Total births: 635 2038 Total births: 638 2037 Total births: 641 2036 Total births: 646 2035 Total births: 652 2034 Total births: 658 2033 Total births: 666 2032 Total births: 675 2031 Total births: 685 2030 Total births: 694 2029 Total births: 702 2028 Total births: 706 2027 Total births: 710 2026 Total births: 713 2025 Total births: 714 2024 Total births: 710 2023 Total births: 704 2022 Total births: 695 2021 Total births: 685 2020 Total births: 674 2019 Total births: 669 2018 Total births: 675 2017 Total births: 669
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -526 2040 Total net migration: -533 2039 Total net migration: -553 2038 Total net migration: -575 2037 Total net migration: -594 2036 Total net migration: -632 2035 Total net migration: -655 2034 Total net migration: -673 2033 Total net migration: -709 2032 Total net migration: -697 2031 Total net migration: -743 2030 Total net migration: -640 2029 Total net migration: -556 2028 Total net migration: -391 2027 Total net migration: -322 2026 Total net migration: -237 2025 Total net migration: -83 2024 Total net migration: 134 2023 Total net migration: 261 2022 Total net migration: 505 2021 Total net migration: 543 2020 Total net migration: 703 2019 Total net migration: 502 2018 Total net migration: 200 2017 Total net migration: 718 2041 Total out migration: 3,845 2040 Total out migration: 3,861 2039 Total out migration: 3,879 2038 Total out migration: 3,900 2037 Total out migration: 3,923 2036 Total out migration: 3,950 2035 Total out migration: 3,981 2034 Total out migration: 4,013 2033 Total out migration: 4,050 2032 Total out migration: 4,086 2031 Total out migration: 4,129 2030 Total out migration: 4,160 2029 Total out migration: 4,185 2028 Total out migration: 4,193 2027 Total out migration: 4,195 2026 Total out migration: 4,189 2025 Total out migration: 4,168 2024 Total out migration: 4,125 2023 Total out migration: 4,069 2022 Total out migration: 3,961 2021 Total out migration: 3,878 2020 Total out migration: 3,779 2019 Total out migration: 3,698 2018 Total out migration: 3,655 2017 Total out migration: 3,562 2041 Total in migration: 3,319 2040 Total in migration: 3,328 2039 Total in migration: 3,326 2038 Total in migration: 3,325 2037 Total in migration: 3,329 2036 Total in migration: 3,319 2035 Total in migration: 3,326 2034 Total in migration: 3,340 2033 Total in migration: 3,341 2032 Total in migration: 3,390 2031 Total in migration: 3,386 2030 Total in migration: 3,520 2029 Total in migration: 3,629 2028 Total in migration: 3,802 2027 Total in migration: 3,872 2026 Total in migration: 3,952 2025 Total in migration: 4,085 2024 Total in migration: 4,258 2023 Total in migration: 4,330 2022 Total in migration: 4,466 2021 Total in migration: 4,421 2020 Total in migration: 4,482 2019 Total in migration: 4,201 2018 Total in migration: 3,855 2017 Total in migration: 4,281 2041 Total net migration: -526 2040 Total net migration: -533 2039 Total net migration: -553 2038 Total net migration: -575 2037 Total net migration: -594 2036 Total net migration: -632 2035 Total net migration: -655 2034 Total net migration: -673 2033 Total net migration: -709 2032 Total net migration: -697 2031 Total net migration: -743 2030 Total net migration: -640 2029 Total net migration: -556 2028 Total net migration: -391 2027 Total net migration: -322 2026 Total net migration: -237 2025 Total net migration: -83 2024 Total net migration: 134 2023 Total net migration: 261 2022 Total net migration: 505 2021 Total net migration: 543 2020 Total net migration: 703 2019 Total net migration: 502 2018 Total net migration: 200 2017 Total net migration: 718 2041 Total out migration: 3,845 2040 Total out migration: 3,861 2039 Total out migration: 3,879 2038 Total out migration: 3,900 2037 Total out migration: 3,923 2036 Total out migration: 3,950 2035 Total out migration: 3,981 2034 Total out migration: 4,013 2033 Total out migration: 4,050 2032 Total out migration: 4,086 2031 Total out migration: 4,129 2030 Total out migration: 4,160 2029 Total out migration: 4,185 2028 Total out migration: 4,193 2027 Total out migration: 4,195 2026 Total out migration: 4,189 2025 Total out migration: 4,168 2024 Total out migration: 4,125 2023 Total out migration: 4,069 2022 Total out migration: 3,961 2021 Total out migration: 3,878 2020 Total out migration: 3,779 2019 Total out migration: 3,698 2018 Total out migration: 3,655 2017 Total out migration: 3,562 2041 Total in migration: 3,319 2040 Total in migration: 3,328 2039 Total in migration: 3,326 2038 Total in migration: 3,325 2037 Total in migration: 3,329 2036 Total in migration: 3,319 2035 Total in migration: 3,326 2034 Total in migration: 3,340 2033 Total in migration: 3,341 2032 Total in migration: 3,390 2031 Total in migration: 3,386 2030 Total in migration: 3,520 2029 Total in migration: 3,629 2028 Total in migration: 3,802 2027 Total in migration: 3,872 2026 Total in migration: 3,952 2025 Total in migration: 4,085 2024 Total in migration: 4,258 2023 Total in migration: 4,330 2022 Total in migration: 4,466 2021 Total in migration: 4,421 2020 Total in migration: 4,482 2019 Total in migration: 4,201 2018 Total in migration: 3,855 2017 Total in migration: 4,281
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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