Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Manly (Eastern Hill)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Manly (Eastern Hill) will increase by an average of 3 dwellings per annum to 2,819 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Northern Beaches Council area. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • Spring Cove - 49 dwellings (2015-2017)
  • Small sites - 7 dwellings
  • Low level of infill development (3 dwellings per annum)
  • No centres development assumed
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 2,819 2035 Total dwellings: 2,816 2034 Total dwellings: 2,813 2033 Total dwellings: 2,810 2032 Total dwellings: 2,807 2031 Total dwellings: 2,804 2030 Total dwellings: 2,801 2029 Total dwellings: 2,798 2028 Total dwellings: 2,795 2027 Total dwellings: 2,792 2026 Total dwellings: 2,789 2025 Total dwellings: 2,786 2024 Total dwellings: 2,783 2023 Total dwellings: 2,780 2022 Total dwellings: 2,777 2021 Total dwellings: 2,774 2020 Total dwellings: 2,771 2019 Total dwellings: 2,768 2018 Total dwellings: 2,765 2017 Total dwellings: 2,762 2036 Total dwellings: 2,819 2035 Total dwellings: 2,816 2034 Total dwellings: 2,813 2033 Total dwellings: 2,810 2032 Total dwellings: 2,807 2031 Total dwellings: 2,804 2030 Total dwellings: 2,801 2029 Total dwellings: 2,798 2028 Total dwellings: 2,795 2027 Total dwellings: 2,792 2026 Total dwellings: 2,789 2025 Total dwellings: 2,786 2024 Total dwellings: 2,783 2023 Total dwellings: 2,780 2022 Total dwellings: 2,777 2021 Total dwellings: 2,774 2020 Total dwellings: 2,771 2019 Total dwellings: 2,768 2018 Total dwellings: 2,765 2017 Total dwellings: 2,762 2036 Forecast development: 3 2035 Forecast development: 3 2034 Forecast development: 3 2033 Forecast development: 3 2032 Forecast development: 3 2031 Forecast development: 3 2030 Forecast development: 3 2029 Forecast development: 3 2028 Forecast development: 3 2027 Forecast development: 3 2026 Forecast development: 3 2025 Forecast development: 3 2024 Forecast development: 3 2023 Forecast development: 3 2022 Forecast development: 3 2021 Forecast development: 3 2020 Forecast development: 3 2019 Forecast development: 3 2018 Forecast development: 3 2017 Forecast development: 9
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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