Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Belrose - Oxford Falls

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Belrose - Oxford Falls will increase by an average of 32 dwellings per annum to 3,873 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Northern Beaches Council area. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • 973 Perentie Road, 973 Perentie Road and 2-10 Lindrum Road - 24 dwellings (2016-2019)
  • Belrose Road Corridor, - 47 dwellings (2018-2021)
  • Balise Eco Village, 70A Willandra Road - 51 dwellings (2019-2020)
  • Low level of in-centre development (0-10 dwellings per annum)
  • Low level of medium density infill development (2-5 dwellings per annum)
  • Moderate level of out of centre infill development (15-20 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 3,873 2035 Total dwellings: 3,849 2034 Total dwellings: 3,822 2033 Total dwellings: 3,795 2032 Total dwellings: 3,768 2031 Total dwellings: 3,741 2030 Total dwellings: 3,713 2029 Total dwellings: 3,685 2028 Total dwellings: 3,657 2027 Total dwellings: 3,629 2026 Total dwellings: 3,601 2025 Total dwellings: 3,571 2024 Total dwellings: 3,541 2023 Total dwellings: 3,511 2022 Total dwellings: 3,481 2021 Total dwellings: 3,451 2020 Total dwellings: 3,410 2019 Total dwellings: 3,352 2018 Total dwellings: 3,290 2017 Total dwellings: 3,253 2036 Total dwellings: 3,873 2035 Total dwellings: 3,849 2034 Total dwellings: 3,822 2033 Total dwellings: 3,795 2032 Total dwellings: 3,768 2031 Total dwellings: 3,741 2030 Total dwellings: 3,713 2029 Total dwellings: 3,685 2028 Total dwellings: 3,657 2027 Total dwellings: 3,629 2026 Total dwellings: 3,601 2025 Total dwellings: 3,571 2024 Total dwellings: 3,541 2023 Total dwellings: 3,511 2022 Total dwellings: 3,481 2021 Total dwellings: 3,451 2020 Total dwellings: 3,410 2019 Total dwellings: 3,352 2018 Total dwellings: 3,290 2017 Total dwellings: 3,253 2036 Forecast development: 24 2035 Forecast development: 27 2034 Forecast development: 27 2033 Forecast development: 27 2032 Forecast development: 27 2031 Forecast development: 28 2030 Forecast development: 28 2029 Forecast development: 28 2028 Forecast development: 28 2027 Forecast development: 28 2026 Forecast development: 30 2025 Forecast development: 30 2024 Forecast development: 30 2023 Forecast development: 30 2022 Forecast development: 30 2021 Forecast development: 41 2020 Forecast development: 58 2019 Forecast development: 62 2018 Forecast development: 37 2017 Forecast development: 25
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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