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Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast

North Balgowlah

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in North Balgowlah will increase by an average of 7 dwellings per annum to 1,334 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Northern Beaches Council. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

For the first 5-years, modelled dwelling additions are compared to and revised in accordance with what has actually occurred between 2021 and the date of the forecast, and approvals and construction which has commenced or is likely to commence over the next several years.

  • The period 5-10 years, modelled results are checked against Council strategies, known developments and key strategic sites and an analysis of potential supply.
  • Long term rates are checked against long-term strategies, regional demand and potential supply.

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