Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Manly (Town Centre)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Manly (Town Centre) will increase by an average of 29 dwellings per annum to 2,421 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Northern Beaches Council area. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • Royal Far West - 100 dwellings (2018-2019)
  • Whistler Street Triangle - 30 dwellings (2019-2020)
  • No infill development assumed
  • Moderate to high level of centres development (15-25 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 2,421 2035 Total dwellings: 2,396 2034 Total dwellings: 2,371 2033 Total dwellings: 2,346 2032 Total dwellings: 2,321 2031 Total dwellings: 2,296 2030 Total dwellings: 2,271 2029 Total dwellings: 2,246 2028 Total dwellings: 2,221 2027 Total dwellings: 2,196 2026 Total dwellings: 2,171 2025 Total dwellings: 2,146 2024 Total dwellings: 2,121 2023 Total dwellings: 2,101 2022 Total dwellings: 2,081 2021 Total dwellings: 2,061 2020 Total dwellings: 2,041 2019 Total dwellings: 2,006 2018 Total dwellings: 1,921 2017 Total dwellings: 1,853 2036 Total dwellings: 2,421 2035 Total dwellings: 2,396 2034 Total dwellings: 2,371 2033 Total dwellings: 2,346 2032 Total dwellings: 2,321 2031 Total dwellings: 2,296 2030 Total dwellings: 2,271 2029 Total dwellings: 2,246 2028 Total dwellings: 2,221 2027 Total dwellings: 2,196 2026 Total dwellings: 2,171 2025 Total dwellings: 2,146 2024 Total dwellings: 2,121 2023 Total dwellings: 2,101 2022 Total dwellings: 2,081 2021 Total dwellings: 2,061 2020 Total dwellings: 2,041 2019 Total dwellings: 2,006 2018 Total dwellings: 1,921 2017 Total dwellings: 1,853 2036 Forecast development: 25 2035 Forecast development: 25 2034 Forecast development: 25 2033 Forecast development: 25 2032 Forecast development: 25 2031 Forecast development: 25 2030 Forecast development: 25 2029 Forecast development: 25 2028 Forecast development: 25 2027 Forecast development: 25 2026 Forecast development: 25 2025 Forecast development: 25 2024 Forecast development: 20 2023 Forecast development: 20 2022 Forecast development: 20 2021 Forecast development: 20 2020 Forecast development: 35 2019 Forecast development: 85 2018 Forecast development: 68 2017 Forecast development: 15
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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