City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Hillside

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Hillside will increase by an average of 23 dwellings per annum to 5,927 in 2051.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Melton. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Sanctuary Hills - 12 dwellings (2017-2021)
  • Hillside Remnant - 39 dwellings (2017-2022)
  • Catherine Drive - 37 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • Stonybrook Estate - 126 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • Hillside Low Density Remnant - 32 dwellings (2017-2026)
  • 5 Victoria Road - 246 dwellings (2031-2039)
  • Small sites - 7 dwellings
  • Low-moderate level of infill (8-12 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2051 Total dwellings: 5,927 2050 Total dwellings: 5,919 2049 Total dwellings: 5,911 2048 Total dwellings: 5,903 2047 Total dwellings: 5,895 2046 Total dwellings: 5,887 2045 Total dwellings: 5,879 2044 Total dwellings: 5,871 2043 Total dwellings: 5,863 2042 Total dwellings: 5,855 2041 Total dwellings: 5,847 2040 Total dwellings: 5,839 2039 Total dwellings: 5,831 2038 Total dwellings: 5,822 2037 Total dwellings: 5,808 2036 Total dwellings: 5,784 2035 Total dwellings: 5,740 2034 Total dwellings: 5,696 2033 Total dwellings: 5,637 2032 Total dwellings: 5,578 2031 Total dwellings: 5,529 2030 Total dwellings: 5,505 2029 Total dwellings: 5,496 2028 Total dwellings: 5,487 2027 Total dwellings: 5,478 2026 Total dwellings: 5,469 2025 Total dwellings: 5,458 2024 Total dwellings: 5,447 2023 Total dwellings: 5,436 2022 Total dwellings: 5,422 2021 Total dwellings: 5,399 2020 Total dwellings: 5,362 2019 Total dwellings: 5,303 2018 Total dwellings: 5,231 2017 Total dwellings: 5,170 2051 Total dwellings: 5,927 2050 Total dwellings: 5,919 2049 Total dwellings: 5,911 2048 Total dwellings: 5,903 2047 Total dwellings: 5,895 2046 Total dwellings: 5,887 2045 Total dwellings: 5,879 2044 Total dwellings: 5,871 2043 Total dwellings: 5,863 2042 Total dwellings: 5,855 2041 Total dwellings: 5,847 2040 Total dwellings: 5,839 2039 Total dwellings: 5,831 2038 Total dwellings: 5,822 2037 Total dwellings: 5,808 2036 Total dwellings: 5,784 2035 Total dwellings: 5,740 2034 Total dwellings: 5,696 2033 Total dwellings: 5,637 2032 Total dwellings: 5,578 2031 Total dwellings: 5,529 2030 Total dwellings: 5,505 2029 Total dwellings: 5,496 2028 Total dwellings: 5,487 2027 Total dwellings: 5,478 2026 Total dwellings: 5,469 2025 Total dwellings: 5,458 2024 Total dwellings: 5,447 2023 Total dwellings: 5,436 2022 Total dwellings: 5,422 2021 Total dwellings: 5,399 2020 Total dwellings: 5,362 2019 Total dwellings: 5,303 2018 Total dwellings: 5,231 2017 Total dwellings: 5,170 2051 Forecast development: 8 2050 Forecast development: 8 2049 Forecast development: 8 2048 Forecast development: 8 2047 Forecast development: 8 2046 Forecast development: 8 2045 Forecast development: 8 2044 Forecast development: 8 2043 Forecast development: 8 2042 Forecast development: 8 2041 Forecast development: 8 2040 Forecast development: 8 2039 Forecast development: 9 2038 Forecast development: 14 2037 Forecast development: 24 2036 Forecast development: 44 2035 Forecast development: 44 2034 Forecast development: 59 2033 Forecast development: 59 2032 Forecast development: 49 2031 Forecast development: 24 2030 Forecast development: 9 2029 Forecast development: 9 2028 Forecast development: 9 2027 Forecast development: 9 2026 Forecast development: 11 2025 Forecast development: 11 2024 Forecast development: 11 2023 Forecast development: 14 2022 Forecast development: 23 2021 Forecast development: 37 2020 Forecast development: 59 2019 Forecast development: 72 2018 Forecast development: 61 2017 Forecast development: 53
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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