City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Cobblebank - Strathtulloh

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Cobblebank - Strathtulloh will increase by an average of 386 dwellings per annum to 13,849 in 2051.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Melton. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Atherstone Estate - 4,419 dwellings (2017-2043)
  • The Millstone Estate - 290 dwellings (2020-2026)
  • Ambervue - 235 dwellings (2020-2028)
  • Robinsons Rise - 325 dwellings (2020-2030)
  • Lotus Estate - 156 dwellings (2021-2028)
  • Toolern PSP - 8,049 dwellings (2030-2051)
  • Low level of infill (1 dwelling per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2051 Total dwellings: 13,849 2050 Total dwellings: 13,528 2049 Total dwellings: 13,200 2048 Total dwellings: 12,848 2047 Total dwellings: 12,482 2046 Total dwellings: 12,116 2045 Total dwellings: 11,755 2044 Total dwellings: 11,401 2043 Total dwellings: 11,025 2042 Total dwellings: 10,622 2041 Total dwellings: 10,166 2040 Total dwellings: 9,530 2039 Total dwellings: 8,873 2038 Total dwellings: 8,199 2037 Total dwellings: 7,531 2036 Total dwellings: 6,921 2035 Total dwellings: 6,340 2034 Total dwellings: 5,905 2033 Total dwellings: 5,551 2032 Total dwellings: 5,270 2031 Total dwellings: 4,959 2030 Total dwellings: 4,670 2029 Total dwellings: 4,389 2028 Total dwellings: 4,107 2027 Total dwellings: 3,790 2026 Total dwellings: 3,456 2025 Total dwellings: 3,099 2024 Total dwellings: 2,738 2023 Total dwellings: 2,408 2022 Total dwellings: 2,105 2021 Total dwellings: 1,799 2020 Total dwellings: 1,479 2019 Total dwellings: 1,179 2018 Total dwellings: 879 2017 Total dwellings: 573 2051 Total dwellings: 13,849 2050 Total dwellings: 13,528 2049 Total dwellings: 13,200 2048 Total dwellings: 12,848 2047 Total dwellings: 12,482 2046 Total dwellings: 12,116 2045 Total dwellings: 11,755 2044 Total dwellings: 11,401 2043 Total dwellings: 11,025 2042 Total dwellings: 10,622 2041 Total dwellings: 10,166 2040 Total dwellings: 9,530 2039 Total dwellings: 8,873 2038 Total dwellings: 8,199 2037 Total dwellings: 7,531 2036 Total dwellings: 6,921 2035 Total dwellings: 6,340 2034 Total dwellings: 5,905 2033 Total dwellings: 5,551 2032 Total dwellings: 5,270 2031 Total dwellings: 4,959 2030 Total dwellings: 4,670 2029 Total dwellings: 4,389 2028 Total dwellings: 4,107 2027 Total dwellings: 3,790 2026 Total dwellings: 3,456 2025 Total dwellings: 3,099 2024 Total dwellings: 2,738 2023 Total dwellings: 2,408 2022 Total dwellings: 2,105 2021 Total dwellings: 1,799 2020 Total dwellings: 1,479 2019 Total dwellings: 1,179 2018 Total dwellings: 879 2017 Total dwellings: 573 2051 Forecast development: 321 2050 Forecast development: 328 2049 Forecast development: 352 2048 Forecast development: 366 2047 Forecast development: 366 2046 Forecast development: 361 2045 Forecast development: 354 2044 Forecast development: 376 2043 Forecast development: 403 2042 Forecast development: 456 2041 Forecast development: 636 2040 Forecast development: 657 2039 Forecast development: 674 2038 Forecast development: 668 2037 Forecast development: 610 2036 Forecast development: 581 2035 Forecast development: 435 2034 Forecast development: 354 2033 Forecast development: 281 2032 Forecast development: 311 2031 Forecast development: 289 2030 Forecast development: 281 2029 Forecast development: 282 2028 Forecast development: 317 2027 Forecast development: 334 2026 Forecast development: 357 2025 Forecast development: 361 2024 Forecast development: 330 2023 Forecast development: 303 2022 Forecast development: 306 2021 Forecast development: 320 2020 Forecast development: 300 2019 Forecast development: 300 2018 Forecast development: 306 2017 Forecast development: 217
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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