City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Deanside

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Deanside will increase by an average of 264 dwellings per annum to 9,319 in 2051.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Melton. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Attwell - North - 756 dwellings (2021-2036)
  • Kororoit PSP - 5,472 dwellings (2023-2049)
  • Kinsford Estate - 250 dwellings (2024-2033)
  • Attwell - South - 764 dwellings (2024-2037)
  • Bowery - 439 dwellings (2026-2039)
  • Rosewood - 450 dwellings (2027-2039)
  • Carolina - 303 dwellings (2028-2039)
  • Deanside Central - 299 dwellings (2033-2040)
  • Deanside Village - 483 dwellings (2034-2048)
  • Low level of infill (1 dwelling per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2051 Total dwellings: 9,319 2050 Total dwellings: 9,318 2049 Total dwellings: 9,317 2048 Total dwellings: 9,314 2047 Total dwellings: 9,306 2046 Total dwellings: 9,270 2045 Total dwellings: 9,209 2044 Total dwellings: 9,118 2043 Total dwellings: 9,007 2042 Total dwellings: 8,868 2041 Total dwellings: 8,719 2040 Total dwellings: 8,528 2039 Total dwellings: 8,265 2038 Total dwellings: 7,901 2037 Total dwellings: 7,449 2036 Total dwellings: 6,914 2035 Total dwellings: 6,267 2034 Total dwellings: 5,574 2033 Total dwellings: 4,870 2032 Total dwellings: 4,244 2031 Total dwellings: 3,648 2030 Total dwellings: 3,094 2029 Total dwellings: 2,569 2028 Total dwellings: 2,052 2027 Total dwellings: 1,522 2026 Total dwellings: 1,132 2025 Total dwellings: 791 2024 Total dwellings: 536 2023 Total dwellings: 306 2022 Total dwellings: 210 2021 Total dwellings: 140 2020 Total dwellings: 80 2019 Total dwellings: 79 2018 Total dwellings: 79 2017 Total dwellings: 79 2051 Total dwellings: 9,319 2050 Total dwellings: 9,318 2049 Total dwellings: 9,317 2048 Total dwellings: 9,314 2047 Total dwellings: 9,306 2046 Total dwellings: 9,270 2045 Total dwellings: 9,209 2044 Total dwellings: 9,118 2043 Total dwellings: 9,007 2042 Total dwellings: 8,868 2041 Total dwellings: 8,719 2040 Total dwellings: 8,528 2039 Total dwellings: 8,265 2038 Total dwellings: 7,901 2037 Total dwellings: 7,449 2036 Total dwellings: 6,914 2035 Total dwellings: 6,267 2034 Total dwellings: 5,574 2033 Total dwellings: 4,870 2032 Total dwellings: 4,244 2031 Total dwellings: 3,648 2030 Total dwellings: 3,094 2029 Total dwellings: 2,569 2028 Total dwellings: 2,052 2027 Total dwellings: 1,522 2026 Total dwellings: 1,132 2025 Total dwellings: 791 2024 Total dwellings: 536 2023 Total dwellings: 306 2022 Total dwellings: 210 2021 Total dwellings: 140 2020 Total dwellings: 80 2019 Total dwellings: 79 2018 Total dwellings: 79 2017 Total dwellings: 79 2051 Forecast development: 1 2050 Forecast development: 1 2049 Forecast development: 3 2048 Forecast development: 8 2047 Forecast development: 36 2046 Forecast development: 61 2045 Forecast development: 91 2044 Forecast development: 111 2043 Forecast development: 139 2042 Forecast development: 149 2041 Forecast development: 191 2040 Forecast development: 263 2039 Forecast development: 364 2038 Forecast development: 452 2037 Forecast development: 535 2036 Forecast development: 647 2035 Forecast development: 693 2034 Forecast development: 704 2033 Forecast development: 626 2032 Forecast development: 596 2031 Forecast development: 554 2030 Forecast development: 525 2029 Forecast development: 517 2028 Forecast development: 530 2027 Forecast development: 390 2026 Forecast development: 341 2025 Forecast development: 255 2024 Forecast development: 230 2023 Forecast development: 96 2022 Forecast development: 70 2021 Forecast development: 60 2020 Forecast development: 1 2019 Forecast development: 0 2018 Forecast development: 0 2017 Forecast development: 1
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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