City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Bonnie Brook

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Bonnie Brook will increase by an average of 208 dwellings per annum to 7,333 in 2051.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Melton. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Woodlea Estate - 903 dwellings (2024-2037)
  • Warrensbrook PSP (East) - 3,348 dwellings (2037-2051)
  • Warrensbrook PSP (West) - 3,021 dwellings (2039-2051)
  • Low level of infill (1 dwelling per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2051 Total dwellings: 7,333 2050 Total dwellings: 6,677 2049 Total dwellings: 5,965 2048 Total dwellings: 5,246 2047 Total dwellings: 4,590 2046 Total dwellings: 3,999 2045 Total dwellings: 3,488 2044 Total dwellings: 3,032 2043 Total dwellings: 2,636 2042 Total dwellings: 2,270 2041 Total dwellings: 1,894 2040 Total dwellings: 1,503 2039 Total dwellings: 1,213 2038 Total dwellings: 1,067 2037 Total dwellings: 982 2036 Total dwellings: 949 2035 Total dwellings: 933 2034 Total dwellings: 918 2033 Total dwellings: 868 2032 Total dwellings: 767 2031 Total dwellings: 667 2030 Total dwellings: 567 2029 Total dwellings: 466 2028 Total dwellings: 366 2027 Total dwellings: 266 2026 Total dwellings: 165 2025 Total dwellings: 105 2024 Total dwellings: 65 2023 Total dwellings: 44 2022 Total dwellings: 44 2021 Total dwellings: 44 2020 Total dwellings: 43 2019 Total dwellings: 43 2018 Total dwellings: 43 2017 Total dwellings: 42 2051 Total dwellings: 7,333 2050 Total dwellings: 6,677 2049 Total dwellings: 5,965 2048 Total dwellings: 5,246 2047 Total dwellings: 4,590 2046 Total dwellings: 3,999 2045 Total dwellings: 3,488 2044 Total dwellings: 3,032 2043 Total dwellings: 2,636 2042 Total dwellings: 2,270 2041 Total dwellings: 1,894 2040 Total dwellings: 1,503 2039 Total dwellings: 1,213 2038 Total dwellings: 1,067 2037 Total dwellings: 982 2036 Total dwellings: 949 2035 Total dwellings: 933 2034 Total dwellings: 918 2033 Total dwellings: 868 2032 Total dwellings: 767 2031 Total dwellings: 667 2030 Total dwellings: 567 2029 Total dwellings: 466 2028 Total dwellings: 366 2027 Total dwellings: 266 2026 Total dwellings: 165 2025 Total dwellings: 105 2024 Total dwellings: 65 2023 Total dwellings: 44 2022 Total dwellings: 44 2021 Total dwellings: 44 2020 Total dwellings: 43 2019 Total dwellings: 43 2018 Total dwellings: 43 2017 Total dwellings: 42 2051 Forecast development: 656 2050 Forecast development: 712 2049 Forecast development: 719 2048 Forecast development: 656 2047 Forecast development: 591 2046 Forecast development: 511 2045 Forecast development: 456 2044 Forecast development: 396 2043 Forecast development: 366 2042 Forecast development: 376 2041 Forecast development: 391 2040 Forecast development: 290 2039 Forecast development: 146 2038 Forecast development: 85 2037 Forecast development: 33 2036 Forecast development: 16 2035 Forecast development: 15 2034 Forecast development: 50 2033 Forecast development: 101 2032 Forecast development: 100 2031 Forecast development: 100 2030 Forecast development: 101 2029 Forecast development: 100 2028 Forecast development: 100 2027 Forecast development: 101 2026 Forecast development: 60 2025 Forecast development: 40 2024 Forecast development: 21 2023 Forecast development: 0 2022 Forecast development: 0 2021 Forecast development: 1 2020 Forecast development: 0 2019 Forecast development: 0 2018 Forecast development: 1 2017 Forecast development: 0
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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