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City of MeltonPopulation forecast


Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Harkness will increase by an average of 127 dwellings per annum to 7,511 in 2051.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Harkness. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • 13-15 Fishburn Grove - 9 dwellings (2019)
  • 559 Coburns Rd - 182 dwellings (2025-2031)
  • Arnolds Creek - 391 dwellings (2017-2026)
  • Bulmans Road PSP - 2,519 dwellings (2033-2051)
  • Fleet Park Estate - 14 dwellings (2017-2024)
  • Melton West PSP - 243 dwellings (2030-2039)
  • Micasa Rise - 9 dwellings (2019-2027)
  • Peppermint Grove Estate - 228 dwellings (2017-2022)
  • Reidy Rise - 42 dwellings (2017-2025)
  • Roslyn Park Estate - 3 dwellings (2017-2019)
  • Willandra Estate - 529 dwellings (2017-2027)
  • Moderate level of infill (8-11 dwellings per annum)

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