City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Melton

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Melton will increase by an average of 105 dwellings per annum to 7,167 in 2051.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Melton. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Melton - RGZ1 Potential - 888 dwellings (2017-2051)
  • Carter Road Dwellings - 15 dwellings (2022-2025)
  • Gretel Grove Development - 46 dwellings (2022-2029)
  • Melton East PSP - 2,156 dwellings (2028-2051)
  • Small sites - 13 dwellings
  • Moderate level of infill (15-16 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2051 Total dwellings: 7,167 2050 Total dwellings: 7,102 2049 Total dwellings: 7,025 2048 Total dwellings: 6,908 2047 Total dwellings: 6,771 2046 Total dwellings: 6,624 2045 Total dwellings: 6,477 2044 Total dwellings: 6,330 2043 Total dwellings: 6,183 2042 Total dwellings: 6,036 2041 Total dwellings: 5,888 2040 Total dwellings: 5,739 2039 Total dwellings: 5,589 2038 Total dwellings: 5,439 2037 Total dwellings: 5,289 2036 Total dwellings: 5,119 2035 Total dwellings: 4,956 2034 Total dwellings: 4,793 2033 Total dwellings: 4,630 2032 Total dwellings: 4,467 2031 Total dwellings: 4,310 2030 Total dwellings: 4,153 2029 Total dwellings: 4,011 2028 Total dwellings: 3,954 2027 Total dwellings: 3,908 2026 Total dwellings: 3,862 2025 Total dwellings: 3,814 2024 Total dwellings: 3,772 2023 Total dwellings: 3,730 2022 Total dwellings: 3,686 2021 Total dwellings: 3,644 2020 Total dwellings: 3,614 2019 Total dwellings: 3,588 2018 Total dwellings: 3,560 2017 Total dwellings: 3,533 2051 Total dwellings: 7,167 2050 Total dwellings: 7,102 2049 Total dwellings: 7,025 2048 Total dwellings: 6,908 2047 Total dwellings: 6,771 2046 Total dwellings: 6,624 2045 Total dwellings: 6,477 2044 Total dwellings: 6,330 2043 Total dwellings: 6,183 2042 Total dwellings: 6,036 2041 Total dwellings: 5,888 2040 Total dwellings: 5,739 2039 Total dwellings: 5,589 2038 Total dwellings: 5,439 2037 Total dwellings: 5,289 2036 Total dwellings: 5,119 2035 Total dwellings: 4,956 2034 Total dwellings: 4,793 2033 Total dwellings: 4,630 2032 Total dwellings: 4,467 2031 Total dwellings: 4,310 2030 Total dwellings: 4,153 2029 Total dwellings: 4,011 2028 Total dwellings: 3,954 2027 Total dwellings: 3,908 2026 Total dwellings: 3,862 2025 Total dwellings: 3,814 2024 Total dwellings: 3,772 2023 Total dwellings: 3,730 2022 Total dwellings: 3,686 2021 Total dwellings: 3,644 2020 Total dwellings: 3,614 2019 Total dwellings: 3,588 2018 Total dwellings: 3,560 2017 Total dwellings: 3,533 2051 Forecast development: 65 2050 Forecast development: 77 2049 Forecast development: 117 2048 Forecast development: 137 2047 Forecast development: 147 2046 Forecast development: 147 2045 Forecast development: 147 2044 Forecast development: 147 2043 Forecast development: 147 2042 Forecast development: 148 2041 Forecast development: 149 2040 Forecast development: 150 2039 Forecast development: 150 2038 Forecast development: 150 2037 Forecast development: 170 2036 Forecast development: 163 2035 Forecast development: 163 2034 Forecast development: 163 2033 Forecast development: 163 2032 Forecast development: 157 2031 Forecast development: 157 2030 Forecast development: 142 2029 Forecast development: 57 2028 Forecast development: 46 2027 Forecast development: 46 2026 Forecast development: 48 2025 Forecast development: 42 2024 Forecast development: 42 2023 Forecast development: 44 2022 Forecast development: 42 2021 Forecast development: 30 2020 Forecast development: 26 2019 Forecast development: 28 2018 Forecast development: 27 2017 Forecast development: 24
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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