City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Melton South (Existing)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Melton South (Existing) will increase by an average of 55 dwellings per annum to 5,949 in 2051.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Melton. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Daniel & Grace Units - 14 dwellings (2017)
  • Belle Gardens Estate - 130 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • Iqra Village - 75 dwellings (2017-2029)
  • Maplewood Estate - 544 dwellings (2017-2031)
  • 15 Crestmont Drive - 10 dwellings (2020-2021)
  • Bridge Road - 70 dwellings (2021-2026)
  • 13 Staughton Street - 12 dwellings (2022)
  • Brentine Aged Care Facility Redevelopment - 21 dwellings (2022)
  • Orchard Green - 400 dwellings (2022-2033)
  • 44 Coburns Road - 78 dwellings (2025-2029)
  • Toolern PSP - 111 dwellings (2034-2041)
  • Moderate level of infill (12-14 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2051 Total dwellings: 5,949 2050 Total dwellings: 5,935 2049 Total dwellings: 5,921 2048 Total dwellings: 5,907 2047 Total dwellings: 5,893 2046 Total dwellings: 5,879 2045 Total dwellings: 5,865 2044 Total dwellings: 5,851 2043 Total dwellings: 5,837 2042 Total dwellings: 5,824 2041 Total dwellings: 5,811 2040 Total dwellings: 5,792 2039 Total dwellings: 5,769 2038 Total dwellings: 5,741 2037 Total dwellings: 5,713 2036 Total dwellings: 5,680 2035 Total dwellings: 5,647 2034 Total dwellings: 5,620 2033 Total dwellings: 5,598 2032 Total dwellings: 5,581 2031 Total dwellings: 5,559 2030 Total dwellings: 5,530 2029 Total dwellings: 5,496 2028 Total dwellings: 5,446 2027 Total dwellings: 5,357 2026 Total dwellings: 5,243 2025 Total dwellings: 5,098 2024 Total dwellings: 4,925 2023 Total dwellings: 4,766 2022 Total dwellings: 4,614 2021 Total dwellings: 4,462 2020 Total dwellings: 4,350 2019 Total dwellings: 4,250 2018 Total dwellings: 4,160 2017 Total dwellings: 4,100 2051 Total dwellings: 5,949 2050 Total dwellings: 5,935 2049 Total dwellings: 5,921 2048 Total dwellings: 5,907 2047 Total dwellings: 5,893 2046 Total dwellings: 5,879 2045 Total dwellings: 5,865 2044 Total dwellings: 5,851 2043 Total dwellings: 5,837 2042 Total dwellings: 5,824 2041 Total dwellings: 5,811 2040 Total dwellings: 5,792 2039 Total dwellings: 5,769 2038 Total dwellings: 5,741 2037 Total dwellings: 5,713 2036 Total dwellings: 5,680 2035 Total dwellings: 5,647 2034 Total dwellings: 5,620 2033 Total dwellings: 5,598 2032 Total dwellings: 5,581 2031 Total dwellings: 5,559 2030 Total dwellings: 5,530 2029 Total dwellings: 5,496 2028 Total dwellings: 5,446 2027 Total dwellings: 5,357 2026 Total dwellings: 5,243 2025 Total dwellings: 5,098 2024 Total dwellings: 4,925 2023 Total dwellings: 4,766 2022 Total dwellings: 4,614 2021 Total dwellings: 4,462 2020 Total dwellings: 4,350 2019 Total dwellings: 4,250 2018 Total dwellings: 4,160 2017 Total dwellings: 4,100 2051 Forecast development: 14 2050 Forecast development: 14 2049 Forecast development: 14 2048 Forecast development: 14 2047 Forecast development: 14 2046 Forecast development: 14 2045 Forecast development: 14 2044 Forecast development: 14 2043 Forecast development: 13 2042 Forecast development: 13 2041 Forecast development: 19 2040 Forecast development: 23 2039 Forecast development: 28 2038 Forecast development: 28 2037 Forecast development: 33 2036 Forecast development: 33 2035 Forecast development: 27 2034 Forecast development: 22 2033 Forecast development: 17 2032 Forecast development: 22 2031 Forecast development: 29 2030 Forecast development: 34 2029 Forecast development: 50 2028 Forecast development: 89 2027 Forecast development: 114 2026 Forecast development: 145 2025 Forecast development: 173 2024 Forecast development: 159 2023 Forecast development: 152 2022 Forecast development: 152 2021 Forecast development: 112 2020 Forecast development: 100 2019 Forecast development: 90 2018 Forecast development: 60 2017 Forecast development: 60
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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