City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Northern Rural

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Northern Rural will increase by an average of 4 dwellings per annum to 456 in 2051.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Melton. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • No major sites identified
  • Low level of infill (4 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2051 Total dwellings: 456 2050 Total dwellings: 451 2049 Total dwellings: 446 2048 Total dwellings: 441 2047 Total dwellings: 436 2046 Total dwellings: 431 2045 Total dwellings: 427 2044 Total dwellings: 423 2043 Total dwellings: 419 2042 Total dwellings: 415 2041 Total dwellings: 411 2040 Total dwellings: 407 2039 Total dwellings: 403 2038 Total dwellings: 399 2037 Total dwellings: 395 2036 Total dwellings: 391 2035 Total dwellings: 387 2034 Total dwellings: 383 2033 Total dwellings: 379 2032 Total dwellings: 375 2031 Total dwellings: 371 2030 Total dwellings: 367 2029 Total dwellings: 363 2028 Total dwellings: 359 2027 Total dwellings: 355 2026 Total dwellings: 351 2025 Total dwellings: 347 2024 Total dwellings: 343 2023 Total dwellings: 339 2022 Total dwellings: 335 2021 Total dwellings: 331 2020 Total dwellings: 327 2019 Total dwellings: 323 2018 Total dwellings: 319 2017 Total dwellings: 315 2051 Total dwellings: 456 2050 Total dwellings: 451 2049 Total dwellings: 446 2048 Total dwellings: 441 2047 Total dwellings: 436 2046 Total dwellings: 431 2045 Total dwellings: 427 2044 Total dwellings: 423 2043 Total dwellings: 419 2042 Total dwellings: 415 2041 Total dwellings: 411 2040 Total dwellings: 407 2039 Total dwellings: 403 2038 Total dwellings: 399 2037 Total dwellings: 395 2036 Total dwellings: 391 2035 Total dwellings: 387 2034 Total dwellings: 383 2033 Total dwellings: 379 2032 Total dwellings: 375 2031 Total dwellings: 371 2030 Total dwellings: 367 2029 Total dwellings: 363 2028 Total dwellings: 359 2027 Total dwellings: 355 2026 Total dwellings: 351 2025 Total dwellings: 347 2024 Total dwellings: 343 2023 Total dwellings: 339 2022 Total dwellings: 335 2021 Total dwellings: 331 2020 Total dwellings: 327 2019 Total dwellings: 323 2018 Total dwellings: 319 2017 Total dwellings: 315 2051 Forecast development: 5 2050 Forecast development: 5 2049 Forecast development: 5 2048 Forecast development: 5 2047 Forecast development: 5 2046 Forecast development: 4 2045 Forecast development: 4 2044 Forecast development: 4 2043 Forecast development: 4 2042 Forecast development: 4 2041 Forecast development: 4 2040 Forecast development: 4 2039 Forecast development: 4 2038 Forecast development: 4 2037 Forecast development: 4 2036 Forecast development: 4 2035 Forecast development: 4 2034 Forecast development: 4 2033 Forecast development: 4 2032 Forecast development: 4 2031 Forecast development: 4 2030 Forecast development: 4 2029 Forecast development: 4 2028 Forecast development: 4 2027 Forecast development: 4 2026 Forecast development: 4 2025 Forecast development: 4 2024 Forecast development: 4 2023 Forecast development: 4 2022 Forecast development: 4 2021 Forecast development: 4 2020 Forecast development: 4 2019 Forecast development: 4 2018 Forecast development: 4 2017 Forecast development: 4
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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