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Hume CityPopulation forecast

Greenvale (South) - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Greenvale (South) - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke indicate a 51.9% increase in population under working age, a 70.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Greenvale (South) - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Greenvale (South) - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45704.61,1357.41,0786.4+508
5 to 97095.81,1327.31,1156.6+407
10 to 148647.09886.41,1366.7+272
15 to 191,0498.51,0346.71,1396.7+90
20 to 241,1779.69876.41,0386.1-139
25 to 298577.09045.98304.9-27
30 to 345674.69236.08264.9+259
35 to 395554.51,0306.79775.8+423
40 to 447706.31,1387.41,1857.0+416
45 to 491,0408.51,0706.91,3117.7+271
50 to 541,1049.09996.51,3087.7+204
55 to 599727.99616.21,1316.7+159
60 to 647656.29196.09545.6+189
65 to 695794.78325.48244.9+246
70 to 743362.76464.27654.5+429
75 to 792321.94372.86583.9+426
80 to 84910.71951.34382.6+347
85 and over670.51180.82391.4+172
Total persons12,300100.015,448100.016,952100.0+4,652
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Greenvale (South) - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 9.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 566 and account for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,138 persons.

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